Troy at Southern Miss: 9/18/21 College Football Picks and Predictions

Southern Miss Golden Eagles (1-1) vs Troy Trojans (1-1)

Game Info: Saturday, September 18, 2021 at 7:00 pm (Carlisle-Faulkner Field at M.M. Roberts Stadium)

Betting Odds: Southern Miss Golden Eagles +8.5 -- Over/Under: 50 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Troy Trojans and Southern Miss Golden Eagles face off on Saturday in a Week 3 college football showdown at Roberts Stadium. When these two teams faced off in 2019, it was Southern Miss that was able to win 47-42. 

The Troy Trojans come into this game with a 1-1 record overall and they were competitive in their loss. Troy beat Southern 55-3 before losing to Liberty 21-13 in their last game. At the end of the first half, Troy was tied 7-7, but they could only manage six points the rest of the game and that led to the victory. In the last game the biggest issue for Troy was with their rushing game. Kimani Vidal was the best player in the last game finishing with 11 carries for 38 yards. In this game if Troy wants to come away with a victory, they are going to need to find a more balanced attack. 

On the other side of this matchup is Southern Miss who also sits with a 1-1 record. Southern Miss lost to South Alabama 31-7 in the first game, but they bounced back with a 37-0 victory over Grambling State. Southern Miss is a run first team led by Frank Gore Jr and in the last game he finished 21 carries for 162 yards and a touchdown. Dajon Richard also had 10 carries for 76 yards and a touchdown. In this game, Southern Miss needs the good offense to show up led by a strong rushing game by Gore. 

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Troy is 1-4 against the spread in their last five non-conference games. Southern Miss is 4-1 against the spread in their last five games overall. The under is 10-4-1 in Troy’s last 15 games overall. The under is 6-1 in Southern Miss’s last seven games overall. The under is 5-2 in Southern Miss’s last seven games in September. 

All trends point towards the under, and I don’t see either offense finding a whole lot of success. Southern Miss doesn't have a great quarterback, and Troy is going to be able to stack the box against them. Look for a 24-13 type of game and for the under to cash. 

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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