Texas Tech at Houston - 9/4/21 College Football Picks and Prediction

Texas Tech at Houston - 9/4/21 College Football Picks and Prediction Photo by Michael C. Johnson-USA TODAY Sports

Houston Cougars (0-0) vs Texas Tech Red Raiders (0-0)

Game Info: Saturday, September 4, 2021 at 7:00 pm (NRG Stadium)

Betting Odds: Houston Cougars +1 -- Over/Under: 64.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Texas Tech Red Raiders and Houston Cougars will square off at NRG Stadium this Saturday afternoon in College Football action.

The Texas Tech finished last season with an overall record of 4-6 while finishing just 8th in Big-12 play with a 3-6 conference record. Offensively, Texas Tech averaged 29.1 ppg on 429.5 total yards per game (266.7 passing yds/g; 162.8 rushing yds/g). Texas Tech should see improved QB play this season after getting Oregon’s Tyler Shough who completed 63.5% of his passes for 1559 yards, 13 TD, & 6 INT last season for the Ducks. The Red Raiders bring back some talented receivers in WR Erik Ezukanma (46 rec, 748 yards, 6 TD), WR Myles Price (29 rec, 305 yards, TD), & TE Travis Koontz (14 rec, 189 yards, TD). Leading the way for the Red Raiders backfield was SaRodorick Thomson who had 610 rushing yards & 8 TD’s on 62 carries.

Defensively, Texas Tech struggled last season as they allowed their opponents to average 36.7 ppg on 444.9 total yards per game (258.5 passing yds/g; 186.4 rushing yds/g). Texas Tech will have a bunch of experience on the defensive end this season and will be led by LB Krishon Merriweather & DB Adrian Frye.

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The Houston Cougars finished last season with an overall record of 3-5 while finishing 6th in AAC play with a conference record of 3-3. Offensively, Houston averaged 30.0 ppg on 408.9 total yards per game (265.8 passing yds/g; 143.1 rushing yds/g). Leading the way for Dana Holgorsen’s “Air Raid” offense will be QB Clayton Tune who completed 59.6% of his passes for 2,048 yards, 15 TD, & 10 INT while also rushing for 253 yards & 5 TD’s. The top receiving threats for Houston will be Nathaniel Dell (29 rec, 428 yards, 3 TD), Bryson Smith (16 rec, 173 yards, 2 TD), Jeremy Singleton (10 rec, 95 yards), & Christian Trahan (22 rec, 294 yards, 3 TD). Leading the way for the Houston backfield this season with be Mulbah Car who had 253 rushing yards & 2 TD on 52 carries.

Defensively, Houston allowed their opponents to average 32.0 ppg on 398.5 total yards per game (231.0 passing yds/g; 167.5 rushing yds/g). Houston’s strength this season should come from their defensive line, led by Logan Hall, Derek Parish, & David Anenih.

The Red Raiders are 16-6-1 ATS in their last 23 games in September, however, are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games as a favorite. The Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.

Both Texas Tech and Houston are looking to bounce back from down seasons last year, however, in my opinion, I think Texas Tech is in much better of a spot that Houston is coming into this season. The Red Raiders had inconsistent offensive line play last year, which is still a bit concerning, however, I expect their offense under Tyler Shough should have plenty of success this season and as I don’t see Houston’s pass defense being able to slow down the Red Raiders passing attack in this one, I think the play here is to take Texas Tech to cover this small spread.

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Brett’s Pick Texas Tech Red Raiders -1

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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