Oregon State at Purdue - 9/4/21 College Football Picks and Prediction

Oregon State at Purdue - 9/4/21 College Football Picks and Prediction Photo by Nikos Frazier / Journal & Courier via Imagn Content Services, LLC

Purdue Boilermakers (0-0) vs Oregon State Beavers (0-0)

Game Info: Saturday, September 4, 2021 at 7:00 pm (Ross-Ade Stadium)

Betting Odds: Purdue Boilermakers -6 -- Over/Under: 63.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Purdue Boilermakers will host the Oregon State Beavers in week one of the NCAA college football season. This will be the first time these two have faced since 1967, a game the Beavers won.

The Oregon State Beavers got it done on the ground in 2020, averaging 197.6 yards per game behind a dominant offensive line. That line has remained intact, however star running back Jermar Jefferson is now gone.  Colorado transfer Sam Noyer will take over as QB; he threw for 1,101 yards with six touchdowns and seven interceptions, while racking up 208 yards on the ground in 2020. On defense they will need to improve, after 2020 saw them allow 217.6 yards per game on the ground and 33.3 points. Most of the defense will return in 2021, however talent will remain a key concern.

Purdue name Jack Plummer the starter over the offseason, after he completed 71 percent of his passes in 2020. Returning will be top wideout David Bell; he has amassed 139 receptions, 1,660 yards and 15 touchdowns in two seasons with the Boilermakers. They will need to improve their ground game, after 2020 saw them average just 81.5 yards per game. Their defense did a decent job in 2020 and will be rejuvenated by the return of top pass-rusher George Karlaftis. With their run defense already a strength, a bounce-back year for Karlaftis would be huge for Purdue.

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Oregon State is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games, 4-6 on the money line, and the over is 7-3.

Purdue is 4-6 ATS in their last 10 games, 4-6 on the money line, and the over is 5-5.

The Beavers will have a tough time stopping this Purdue offense, as they have not been able to stop the run and the Boilermakers can already beat them through the air. Oregon States offense will need to get out to an early lead so they can lean on the run game, but that will be tough to do against a revamped front seven for Purdue. The Boilermakers were not especially good at home last year but should be able to ride the advantage to a cover on Saturday. Give me Purdue by a touchdown.  

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Joe’s Pick Purdue Boilermakers -6

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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