Tulane vs. Southern Miss - 1/4/20 College Football Armed Forces Bowl Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Tulane vs. Southern Miss - 1/4/20 College Football Armed Forces Bowl Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Derick E. Hingle-USA TODAY Sports

Southern Miss Golden Eagles (7-5) at Tulane Green Wave (6-6)

College Football: Saturday, January 4, 2020 at 11:30 am (Amon G. Carter Stadium)

The Line: Tulane Green Wave -7 -- Over/Under: 57.5

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The Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles and Tulane Green Wave meet Saturday January 4, 2020 in the college football Armed Forces Bowl at Amon G. Carter Stadium.

The Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles have split their last six games and look for their second bowl win since 2012. The Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles have split their last six non-home games. Jack Abraham is completing 67.5 percent of his passes for 3,329 yards, 18 touchdowns and 15 interceptions. Abraham has two or more touchdown passes in six of his last 11 games. Quez Watkins and Tim Jones have combined for 1,864 receiving yards and eight touchdowns while Jaylond Adams has 48 receptions. The Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles ground game is averaging 122.4 yards per contest, and Kevin Perkins leads the way with 548 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Southern Mississippi is allowing 25.9 points and 350.3 yards per game. Ky'el Hemby leads the Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles with 87 tackles, Terry Whittington has 7.5 sacks and D.Q. Thomas has three interceptions.

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The Tulane Green Wave look to get a game above a .500 record and snag their sixth bowl victory in school history. The Tulane Green Wave have lost four straight non-home games. Justin McMillan is completing 57.4 percent of his passes for 2,229 yards, 14 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. McMillan has two or more touchdown passes in five of his last 14 games. Darnell Mooney and Jalen McCleskey have combined for 1,164 receiving yards and eight touchdowns while Amare Jones has 29 receptions. The Tulane Green Wave ground game is averaging 249.8 yards per contest, and Justin McMillan leads the way with 704 yards and 12 touchdowns. Defensively, Tulane is allowing 27.4 points and 378.5 yards per game. Chase Kuerschen leads the Tulane Green Wave with 69 tackles, Patrick Johnson has three sacks and Larry Brooks has three interceptions.

The Golden Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on grass, 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 bowl games and 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games. The Green Wave are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games, 8-3 ATS in their last 11 vs. CUSA and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The under is 5-0 in Golden Eagles last 5 games overall. The under is 4-0 in Green Wave last 4 games on grass. The Golden Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Tulane and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The road team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings. The under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.

Motivation and current form are two big factors when handicapping bowl season, and Tulane went from being AAC contenders and looking at a really solid bowl game to losing five of their last six games and playing an extremely early start in a throwaway bowl. It's hard to find another team entering bowl season in lousier form, and that's without mentioning Tulane's struggles on the road. The Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles finished the season cold as well and has an offense that can turn the ball over left and right. Still, if forced to pick this game, I'd take the free touchdown with the Golden Eagles. I want nothing to do with Tulane right now. 

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Randy’s Pick Southern Miss Golden Eagles +7

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.