Minnesota vs. Auburn - 1/1/20 College Football Outback Bowl Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Minnesota vs. Auburn - 1/1/20 College Football Outback Bowl Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Jesse Johnson-USA TODAY Sports

Minnesota Golden Gophers (10-2) at Auburn Tigers (9-3)

College Football: Wednesday, January 1, 2020 at 1:00 pm (Raymond James Stadium)

The Line: Auburn Tigers -7 -- Over/Under: 53.5

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The Auburn Tigers and Minnesota Golden Gophers meet Wednesday in the college football Outback Bowl on New Years Day at Raymond James Stadium.

The Auburn Tigers enter this bowl game winning four of their last six contests. The Auburn Tigers have split their last four non-home games. Bo Nix is completing 57 percent of his passes for 2,366 yards, 15 touchdowns and six interceptions. Nix has one or less touchdown passes in his last five games. Seth Williams and Anthony Schwartz have combined for 1,192 receiving yards and nine touchdowns while Stove has 36 receptions. The Auburn Tigers ground game is averaging 211 yards per contest, and JaTarvious Whitlow leads the way with 739 yards and nine touchdowns. Defensively, Auburn is allowing 18.6 points and 323.9 yards per game. Jeremiah Dinson leads the Auburn Tigers with 79 tackles, Marlon Davidson has 7.5 sacks and Jeremiah Dinson has two interceptions.

The Minnesota Golden Gophers look to end their season on a high note after losing two of their last three games. The Minnesota Golden Gophers have won four of their last five non-home games. Tanner Morgan is completing 66.1 percent of his passes for 2,975 yards, 28 touchdowns and six interceptions. Morgan has two or more touchdown passes in nine of his last 11 games. Rashod Bateman and Tyler Johnson have combined for 2,284 receiving yards and 22 touchdowns while Chris Autman-Bell has 27 receptions. The Minnesota Golden Gophers ground game is averaging 175.6 yards per contest, and Rodney Smith leads the way with 1,094 yards and eight touchdowns. Defensively, Minnesota is allowing 22.4 points and 312.8 yards per game. Antoine Winfield Jr. leads the Minnesota Golden Gophers with 83 tackles, Carter Coughlin has 4.5 sacks and Kamal Martin has two interceptions.

The Golden Gophers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog, 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall. The Tigers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games, 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite and 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games overall. The over is 5-1 in Golden Gophers last 6 games overall. The under is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 games overall. 

The Minnesota Golden Gophers are being disrespected yet again with this line, the same way they've been counted against all season. But for this game, I'm leaning toward the under. Both Auburn and Minnesota like to control the line of scrimmage and rely on their ground game to lead the offense. This could be a battle of the big boys up front and scoring could be tough to come by. The under has been a consistent trend for Auburn this season. I expect a low scoring contest. Give me the under.

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.