Troy at Appalachian State: 11/28/20 College Football Picks and Prediction

Troy at Appalachian State: 11/28/20 College Football Picks and Prediction Photo by USA TODAY NETWORK

Appalachian State Mountaineers (6-2) vs Troy Trojans (4-4)

Game Info: Saturday, November 28, 2020 at 8:00 pm (Kidd Brewer Stadium)

Betting Odds: Appalachian State Mountaineers -16.5 -- Over/Under: 49.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Troy Trojans will travel to Kidd Brewer Stadium to take on the Appalachian State Mountaineers this Saturday night in College Football action.

The Troy Trojans lost their 2nd straight game and dropped to 4-4 (2-2 Sun Belt) on the season after being defeated by the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders, 20-17, this past Saturday. Troy had trouble repeating the offensive success they had against Middle Tennessee in a 47-14 victory earlier this season and could not fight back after a 49-yard FG by Crews Holt gave the Blue Raiders a 10-point lead with 2:37 left in the game. Troy was outgained by Middle Tennessee by a 396-392 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 2-0 margin in the loss. Leading the way for the Trojans was WR Khalil McClain who had 6 receptions for 92 yards & 1 TD.

On the season, Troy is averaging 28.0 ppg on 404.1 total yards per game (302.0 passing yds/g; 102.1 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Troy has been led by QB Gunnar Watson who has completed 68.5% of his passes for 1,459 yards, 11 TD, & 5 INT. The top receiving threats for the Trojans have been Kaylon Geiger (45 rec, 557 yards, TD), Reggie Todd (28 rec, 375 yards, 5 TD), and Khalil McLain (27 rec, 325 yards, 5 TD). Leading the way for the Trojan backfield has been the duo of Kimani Vidal (67 att, 393 yards, 3 TD) & B.J. Smith (69 att, 270 yards, 3 TD).

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Defensively, Troy is allowing their opponents to average 24.3 ppg on 393.6 total yards per game (228.0 passing yds/g; 165.6 rushing yds/g).

The Appalachian State Mountaineers had their 5-game winning streak snapped and dropped to 6-2 (4-1 Sun Belt) on the season after being defeated by the 15th ranked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers, 34-23, this past Saturday. Appalachian State gave Coastal Carolina all they could handled and had a lead early in the 4th quarter, however, the offense couldn’t come up with a big play late and the Chanticleers were able to seal the victory after a 38-yard pick six gave Coastal Carolina a double-digit lead with just 1:20 left in the game. Appalachian State outgained Coastal Carolina by a 415-369 margin however, lost the turnover battle by a 3-1 margin in the loss. Leading the way for the Mountaineers was RB Camerun Peoples who had 178 rushing yards & 1 TD on 27 carries.

On the season, Appalachian State is averaging 31.0 ppg on 445.4 total yards per game (191.1 passing yds/g; 254.3 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Appalachian State has been led by RB duo trio of Daetrich Harrington (106 att, 595 yards, 7 TD), Camerun Peoples (97 att, 544 yards, 5 TD), and Marcus Williams Jr. (49 att, 350 yards, 2 TD). QB Zac Thomas has completed 65.3% of his passes 1,496 yards, 13 TD, & 8 INT. The top receiving threats for the Mountaineers have been Thomas Hennigan (27 rec, 407 yards, TD), Malik Williams (28 rec, 370 yards, 2 TD), and Christian Wells (14 rec, 220 yards, 4 TD).

Defensively, Appalachian State is holding their opponents to an average of 19.0 ppg on 330.3 total yards per game (187.1 passing yds/g; 143.1 rushing yds/g).

The Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 0-4 ATS s. a team with a winning record. The Mountaineers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss, however, are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.

Troy seems to be heading in the wrong direction as of late, losing 3 of their last 4 games, however, this is a team that does have some solid offensive talent and did pick up a nice 38-10 won on the road at Arkansas State earlier this season. Appalachian State is the better team, however, this is a team that always seems to struggles covering big spreads and as I think the Mountaineers might come out a bit flat after their tough lost against Coastal Carolina last week, I think Troy does enough in this one to cover with the points. Good Luck!

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Brett’s Pick Troy Trojans +16.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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