Mississippi State at Ole Miss: 11/28/20 College Football Picks and Prediction

Mississippi State at Ole Miss: 11/28/20 College Football Picks and Prediction Photo by Katie Stratman-USA TODAY Sports

Ole Miss Rebels (3-4) vs Mississippi State Bulldogs (2-5)

Game Info: Saturday, November 28, 2020 at 4:00 pm (Vaught-Hemingway Stadium at Hollingsworth Field)

Betting Odds: Ole Miss Rebels -11.5 -- Over/Under: 65.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Mississippi State Bulldogs will travel to Vaught-Hemingway Stadium to take on the Ole Miss Rebels this Saturday afternoon in College Football action.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs dropped to 2-5 (2-5 (SEC) on the season after being defeated by the 13th ranked Georgia Bulldogs, 31-24, this past Saturday. Mississippi State kept the game close, however, had no answers for the JT Daniels who threw for over 400 yards & 4 TD’s for the Bulldogs and could not fight back after Georgia took a 31-24 lead with 9:50 left in the game. Mississippi State was outgained by Georgia by a 409-358 margin and did not force a turnover in the loss. Leading the way for the Bulldogs was QB Will Rogers who completed 41 of 52 passes for 336 yards & 1 TD.

On the season, Mississippi State is averaging 17.4 ppg on 329.4 total yards per game (307.9 passing yds/g; 21.6 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Mississippi State is led by QB Will Rogers who has completed 73.8% of his passes for 872 yards, 3 TD, & 4 INT. The top receiving threats for the  Bulldogs have been Osirus Mitchell (33 rec, 389 yards, 3 TD), Jaden Walley (26 rec, 286 yards, TD), Kylin Hill (23 rec, 237 yards, TD), and Austin Williams (27 rec, 225 yards, TD). Mississippi State focuses mostly on throwing the ball but has gotten some backfield production from Jo’quavious Marks (41 att, 147 yards, TD) & Dillon Johnson (22 att, 70 yards, 4 TD).

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Defensviely, Mississippi State is allowing their opponents to average 28.0 ppg on 366.9 total yards (256.7 passing yds/g; 110.1 rushing yds/g).

The Ole Miss Rebels had their game against the 5th ranked Texas A&M Aggies postponed last week due to Covid-19 and come into this game with an overall record of 3-4 (3-4 SEC) on the season after defeating the South Carolina Gamecocks, 59-42, on November 14th. Ole Miss has no trouble piling up the points & yards against the South Carolina defense and pulled away late after scoring 21-unanswered points to close out the final 12:02 of the game. Ole Miss outgained South Carolina by a 708-548 margin and forced one turnover in the victory.

On the season, Ole Miss is averaging 41.0 ppg on 564.9 total yards per game (352.1 passing yds/g; 212.7 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Ole Miss has been led by WR Elijah Moore who has 74 receptions for 1,054 yards & 8 TD’s. QB Matt Corral has completed 74.0% of his passes for 2,359 yards, 22 TD, & 9 INT. The other top receivers outside of Elijah Moore have been Jenny Yeboah (25 rec, 509 yards, 6 TD), Jonathan Mingo (19 rec, 278 yards, 3 TD), Braylon Sanders (9 rec, 219 yards, TD), and Dontario Drummond (15 rec, 187 yards, 4 TD). Leading the way for the Rebels backfield has been the duo of Jerrion Ealy (117 att, 608 yards, 8 TD) & Snoop Conner (78 att, 333 yards, 6 TD).

Defensively, Ole Miss is allowing their opponents to average 40.9 ppg on 535.6 total yards per game (292.1 passing yds/g; 243.4 rushing yds/g).

The Bulldogs are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games in November, however, just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Rebels are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win and 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

We have The Egg Bowl this weekend in what should be a very entertaining, high scoring game between he Bulldogs & Rebels. Ole Miss is certainly the more explosive offensive team, however, I was impressed by how Will Rogers looked last week against Georgia and expect Mississippi State and their “Air-Raid” offense to have success against a Rebels team that ranks 124th in scoring defense & 116th in passing defense. I think this will be a back-and-forth shootout, however, as this is a rivalry game and that I think Mississippi State will be able to keep this close, I think the play here is to take the Bulldogs and the points. Good Luck!

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Brett’s Pick Mississippi State Bulldogs +11.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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