UCF at USF: 11/27/20 College Football Picks and Prediction

UCF at USF: 11/27/20 College Football Picks and Prediction Photo by Reinhold Matay-USA TODAY Sports

USF Bulls (1-7) vs UCF Knights (5-3)

Game Info: Friday, November 27, 2020 at 3:30 pm (Raymond James Stadium)

Betting Odds: USF Bulls +24 -- Over/Under: 70 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The UCF Knights will travel to Raymond James Stadium to take on the South Florida Bulls this Friday afternoon in College Football action.

The UCF Knights had their 3-game winning streak snapped and dropped to 5-3 (4-3 AAC) on the season after being defeated by the 7th ranked Cincinnati Bearcats, 36-33, this past Saturday. UCF was able to get out to a quick 14-3 lead, however, the defense struggled to slow down Desmond Ridder and the Bearcats passing attack and could not fight back after Cincinnati took a 36-25 lead midway through the 4th quarter. UCF was outgained by Cincinnati by a 482-359 margin and committed one turnover in the loss. Leading the way for the Knights was WR Marlon Williams who had 97 yards & 2 TD’s on 8 receptions.

On the season, UCF is averaging 42.6 ppg on 586.6 total yards per game (377.6 passing yds/g; 209.0 rushing yds/g). Offensively, UCF has been led by QB Dillon Gabriel who has completed 61.7% of his passes for 3,017 yards, 26 TD, & 3 INT. The top receiving threats for Gabriel and the Knights have been Marlon Williams (71 rec, 1,039 yards, 10 TD), Jaylon Robinson (46 rec, 854 yards, 5 TD), Ryan O’Keefe (18 rec, 371 yards, 3 TD), and Jacob Harris (21 rec, 362 yards, 4 TD). Leading the way for the Knights backfield has been the duo of Otis Anderson (109 att, 614 yards, 4 TD) and Greg McCrae (106 att, 551 yards, 8 TD).

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Defensively, UCF is allowing their opponents to average 29.6 ppg on 452.1 total yards per game (268.4 passing yds/g; 183.8 rushing yds/g).

The South Florida Bulls had their game last week against Navy cancelled due to COVID-19 and come into this game with an overall record of 1-7 (0-6 AAC) on the season after being defeated by the Houston Cougars, 56-21, on November 14th. South Florida had no answers defensively for the Cougars early in this one and could not fight back after trailing by a 42-0 margin midway through the 2nd quarter. South Florida was outgained by Houston by a 505-359 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 2-1 margin in the loss. Leading the way for the Bulls was QB Jordan McCloud who completed 14 of 29 passes for 180 yards & 1 TD.

On the season, South Florida is averaging 20.3 ppg on 330.3 total yards per game (193.1 passing yds/g; 137.1 rushing yds/g). Offensively, South Florida has been led by QB Jordan McCloud who has completed 59.5% of his passes for 937 yards, 5 TD, & 2 INT. The top receiving threats for the Bulls have been Omarion Dollison (19 rec, 249 yards, 1 TD), DeVontres Dukes (19 rec, 231 yards, 2 TD), Latrell Williams (19 rec, 215 yards), and Bryce Miller (22 rec, 206 yards, TD). Leading the way for the Bulls backfield is the duo of Johnny Ford (55 att, 285 yards, 3 TD), and Kelley Joiner (64 att, 252 yards, 1 TD).

Defensively, South Florida is allowing their opponents to average 37.6 ppg on 424.5 total yards per game (215.8 passing yds/g; 208.8 rushing yds/g).

The Knights are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall and just 1-7 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. The Bulls are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss, however, are just 4-11 ATS in their last 15 home games.

South Florida had no answers against a talented Houston offense, and it could be even worse against a UCF offense that ranked 2nd in total offense. There is a slight concern of a letdown from the Knights after a tough loss against Cincinnati, however, as the USF defense has allowed an average of 43 ppg over their last 5 games, I think the Knights do enough in this one to cover this large road spread. Good Luck!

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Brett’s Pick UCF Knights -24

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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