New Mexico at Utah State: 11/26/20 College Football Picks and Prediction

New Mexico at Utah State: 11/26/20 College Football Picks and Prediction Photo by Stan Szeto-USA TODAY Sports

Utah State Aggies (0-4) vs New Mexico Lobos (0-4)

Game Info: Thursday, November 26, 2020 at 7:00 pm (Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium)

Betting Odds: Utah State Aggies +3.5 -- Over/Under: 53 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The New Mexico Lobos will travel to Marverik Stadium to take on the Utah State Aggies this Thursday night in College Football action.

The New Mexico Lobos are still searching for their first win as the Lobos fell to 0-4 (0-4 Mountain West) on the season after being defeated by the Air Force Falcons, 28-0, this past Friday night. New Mexico struggled offensively, including missing all four FG attempts, and could not fight back after going into halftime trailing by a 21-0 margin. New Mexico was outgained by Air Force by a 422-304 margin and committed two turnovers in the loss. Leading the way for the Lobos was Emmanuel Logan-Greene who had 3 receptions for 64 yards.

On the season, New Mexico is averaging 18.5 ppg on 399.5 total yards per game (236.5 passing yds/g; 163.0 rushing yds/g). Offensively, New Mexico has been led by QB Tevaka Tuioti who has completed 56.1% of his passes for 475 yards, 4 TD, & 1 INT. Tuioti also is the 2nd leading rusher for the Lobos with 140 yards & 1 TD on 19 attempts. The top receiving threats for the Lobos have been Jordan Kress (12 rec, 224 yards, 2 TD), Emmanuel Logan-Greene (21 rec, 219 yards), and Andrew Erickson (11 rec, 195 yards, TD). Leading the way for the New Mexico backfield has been the duo of Bobby Cole (45 att, 255 yards, TD) and Nathaniel Jones (24 att, 136 yards, TD).

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Defensively, New Mexico is allowing their opponents to average 18.5 ppg on 474.0 total yards per game (324.3 passing yds/g; 149.8 rushing yds/g).

The Utah State Aggies had their game last week cancelled due to Coivd-19 and come into this matchup with an 0-4 (0-4 Mountain West) after being defeated by the Fresno State Bulldogs, 35-16, on November 14th. Utah State jumped out to a 13-7 lead after the first quarter, however, the defense struggled slowing down the Bulldogs passing attack the rest of the way and could not fight back after Fresno State took a 28-16 lead into halftime. Utah State was outgained by Fresno State by a 541-343 margin and committed two turnovers in the loss. Leading the way for the Aggies was RB Jaylen Warren who had 136 rushing yards & 1 TD on 9 carries.

On the season Utah State is averaging 11.3 ppg on 242.8 total yards per game (112.3 passing yds/g; 130.5 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Utah State has been led by the RB duo of Jaylen Warren (39 att, 252 yards, 3 TD) and Devonta’e Henry-Cole (31 att, 127 yards). QB Jason Shelley (51.5 Comp %, 420 yards, 2 TD, 2 INT) was recently dismissed from the Utah State program for a rules violation and will likely be replaced by Andrew Peasley (6 for 16, 29 yards, 0 TD, 1 INT). The top receiving threats for the Aggies have been Deven Tompkins (20 rec, 214 yards, TD), Justin McGriff (10 rec, 80 yards, TD), and Jordan Nathan (6 rec, 42 yards).

Defensively, Utah State is allowing their opponents to average 37.3 ppg on 525.8 total yards per game (321.3 passing yds/g; 204.5 rushing yds/g).

The Lobos are 10-23 ATS in their last 33 games overall and just 7-19 ATS in their last 26 conference games. The Aggies are 11-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record, however, are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.

Both New Mexico and Utah State have really struggled to put up points this season, however, it’s hard to image the Aggies who have already fired their coach and just dismissed their starting QB is going to find any answers to their offensive woes. New Mexico did not look great offensively against Air Force, however, as I think Tevaka Tuioti and the Lobos running game will be able to find success against the Aggies 124th ranked total defense, I’m taking the New Mexico to cover this road spread. Good Luck!

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Brett’s Pick New Mexico Lobos -3.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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