Middle Tennessee at Troy: 11/21/20 College Football Picks and Prediction

Middle Tennessee at Troy: 11/21/20 College Football Picks and Prediction Photo by Christopher Hanewinckel-USA TODAY Sports

Troy Trojans (4-3) vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (2-6)

Game Info: Saturday, November 21, 2020 at 3:30 pm (Larry Blakeney Field at Veterans Memorial Stadium)

Betting Odds: Troy Trojans -12 -- Over/Under: 58 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders will travel to Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL) to take on the Troy Trojans this Saturday afternoon in College Football action.

The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders dropped to 2-6 (2-4 C-USA) on the season after being defeated by the 16th ranked Marshall Thundering Herd, 42-14, this past Saturday. Middle Tennessee had no answers on either end of the field for the Thundering Herd and could not fight back after a 26-yard TD run by Sheldon Evans gave Marshall a 35-14 lead with 5:40 left in the 3rd quarter. Middle Tennessee was outgained by Marshall by a 520-303 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 3-1 margin in the loss. Leading the way for the Blue Raiders was WR Jarrin Pierce who had 9 receptions for 90 yards & 1 TD.

On the season, Middle Tennessee is averaging 23.3 ppg on 362.1 total yards per game (233.0 passing yds/g; 129.1 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Middle Tennessee has been led by QB Asher O’Hara who has completed 65.3% of his passes for 1,750 yards, 12 TD & 8 INT. O’Hara is also the leading rusher for the Blue Raiders as he has 515 yards & 7 TD’s on 150 carries. The top receiving threats for the Blue Raiders have been Jarrin Pierce (55 rec, 541 yards, 3 TD), Yusuf Ali (30 rec, 367 yards, 2 TD), and CJ Windham (29 rec, 313 yards, 3 TD). In the backfield for the Blue Raiders was Chaton Mobley (67 att, 309 yards, 3 TD) and Jayy McDonald (33 att, 148 yards).

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Defensively, Middle Tennessee is allowing their opponents to average 37.8 ppg on 425.8 total yards per game (214.6 passing yds/g; 238.1 rushing yds/g).

The Troy Trojans had their 2nd game postponed this season (South Alabama, Coastal Carolina) due to COVID-19 last week and come into this game with an overall record of 4-3 (2-2 Sun Belt) after losing to the Georgia Southern Eagles, 20-13, on November 7th. Troy struggled to get their offense going agianst the Georgia Southern defense on the road and allowed the Eagles to pull away for the victory after scoring 14 unanswered points over the final 7:37 of regulation. Troy was outgained by Georgia Southern by a 411-235 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 2-1 margin in the loss. Leading the way for the Trojans was WR Kaylon Geiger who had 49 receiving yards on 6 receptions.

On the season, Troy is averaging 29.6 ppg on 405.9 total yards per game (302.3 passing yds/g; 103.6 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Troy has been led by QB Gunner Watson who has completed 69.5% of his passes for 1,159 yards, 10 TD, & 3 INT. The top receiving threats for the Trojans have been Kaylon Geiger (41 rec, 523 yards, TD), Reggie Todd (25 rec, 358 yards, 5 TD), Tray Eafford (23 rec, 259 yards, TD), and Khalil McClain (21 rec, 233 yards, TD). Leading the way for the Trojans backfield has been the duo of Kimani Vidal (67 att, 393 yards, 3 TD) and B.J. Smith (59 att, 208 yards, 2 TD).

Defensively, Troy is allowing their opponents to average 24.9 ppg on 393.3 total yards per game (230.6 passing yds/g; 162.7 rushing yds/g).

The Blue Raiders are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Trojans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss, however, are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.

Middle Tennessee has really struggled this season as their offense is pretty one dimensional behind Asher O’Hara and their defense ranks just 112th in scoring defense. Troy has a decent passing offense that should have success agianst the Blue Raiders as the Trojans have already beaten Middle Tennessee by a 47-14 margin this season on the road, I think Troy will be able to do enough in this one to cover this double-digit home spread. Good Luck!

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Brett’s Pick Troy Trojans -12

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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