Kentucky at Alabama: 11/21/20 College Football Picks and Prediction
Photo by Knoxville News Sentinel-USA TODAY Sports
Alabama Crimson Tide (6-0) vs Kentucky Wildcats (3-4)
Game Info: Saturday, November 21, 2020 at 4:00 pm (Bryant-Denny Stadium)
Betting Odds: Alabama Crimson Tide -29.5 -- Over/Under: 57.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The Kentucky Wildcats will travel to Bryant-Denny Stadium to take on the top-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide this Saturday afternoon in College Football action.
The Kentucky Wildcats snapped their 2-game losing streak and improved to 3-4 (3-4 SEC) on the season after defeating the Vanderbilt Commodores, 38-35, this past Saturday. Kentucky was outstanding offensively agianst Vanderbilt and was able to hang on late after taking a 38-21 lead on a Chris Rodriguez 74-yard TD run with 9:14 left in the 4th quarter. Kentucky outgained Vanderbilt by a 458-407 margin and did not commit at a turnover in the victory. Leading the way for the Wildcats was RB Chris Rodriguez Jr. who had 149 rushing yards & 2 TD’s on 13 carries.
On the season, Kentucky is averaging 23.3 ppg on 318.0 total yards per game (123.0 passing yds/g; 195.0 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Kentucky has been led by QB Terry Wilson who has completed 64.7% of his passes for 712 yards, 6 TD, & 1 INT. Wilson is also the 2nd leading rusher for the Wildcats as he has 334 yards & 4 TD on 68 carries. In the backfield with Wilson has been the duo of Chris Rodriguez Jr. (88 att, 562 yards, 6 TD) and Asim Rose Jr. (55 att, 291, TD). The top receivers for the Wildcats have been Josh Ahi (34 rec, 343 yards, TD), Allen Dailey Jr. (10 rec, 91 yards, 1 TD), and Keaton Upshaw (7 rec, 90 yards, 2 TD).
Defensively, Kentucky is allowing their opponents to average 21.3 ppg on 362.7 total yards per game (214.1 passing yds/g; 148.6 rushing yds/g).
The top-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide had their game last week agianst LSU postponed due to Covid-19 and come into this game with a prefect 6-0 record (6-0 SEC) after defeating the Mississippi State Bulldogs, 41-0, on October 31st. Alabama dominated Mississippi State on both ends of the field and had no trouble securing the victory after taking a 27-0 lead into halftime. Alabama outgained Mississippi State by a 499-200 margin and won the turnover battle by a 3-1 margin in the victory. Leading the way for the Crimson Tide was WR DeVonta Smith who had 11 receptions for 203 yards & 4 TD’s.
On the season, Alabama is averaging 47.2 ppg on 555.2 total yards per game (380.0 passing yds/g; 175.2 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Alabama has been led by QB Mac Jones who has completed 78.5% of his passes for 2,196 yards, 16 TD, & 2 INT. The top receiving threats for the Jones and the Crimson Tide have been DeVonta Smith (56 rec, 759 yards, 8 TD), Jaylen Waddle (25 rec, 557 yards, 4 TD), & John Metchie III (24 rec, 517 yards, 3 TD). Alabama will be without Jaylen Waddle who was lost for the season due to injury. Leading the way for the Alabama backfield has been Najee Harris who has 714 rushing yards & 14 TD’s on 124 carries.
Defensively, Alabama is holding their opponents to an average of 22.0 ppg on 389.2 total yards per game (260.3 passing yds/g; 128.8 rushing yds/g).
The Wildcats are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win, however, are just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home. The Crimson Tide are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Kentucky is a decent team, however, after giving up 35 points at home against Vanderbilt, it scares me to think with Mac Jones and the Alabama offense can do to the Wildcats at home. Alabama’s defense has looked improved over their last three games, holding opponents to just an average of 13.7 ppg and as I think the Crimson Tide will able to put 45+ points on the scoreboard in this one, I think Alabama does enough to cover this spread. Good Luck!