Postponed: Houston at SMU: 11/21/20 College Football Picks and Prediction

Postponed: Houston at SMU: 11/21/20 College Football Picks and Prediction Photo by Jim Owens-USA TODAY Sports

SMU Mustangs (7-2) vs Houston Cougars (3-3)

Game Info: Saturday, November 21, 2020 at 12:00 pm (Gerald J. Ford Stadium)

Betting Odds: SMU Mustangs -3 -- Over/Under: 69.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Houston Cougars will travel to Gerald J. Ford to take on the SMU Mustangs this Saturday afternoon in College Football action.

The Houston Cougars snapped a 2-game losing streak and improved to 3-3 (3-2 AAC) on the season after defeating the South Florida Bulls, 56-21, this past Saturday. Houston had its way on offensively against the Bulls and had no trouble securing the victory after taking a 35-0 lead on a 72-yard punt return TD by Marcus Jones early in the 3rd quarter. Houston outgained USF by a 505-359 margin and won the turnover battle by a 2-1 margin in the victory. Leading the way for the Cougars was QB Clayton Tune who completed 14 of 25 passes for 165 yards, 3 TD, & 1 INT while also adding 120 yards & 2 TD’s on the ground.

On the season, Houston is averaging 33.2 ppg on 425.8 total yards per game (267.8 passing yds/g; 158.0 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Houston has been led by QB Clayton Tune who has completed 60.6% of his passes for 1,562 yards, 11 TD, & 6 INT. Tune is also the 2nd leading rusher for the Cougars as he has 233 yards & 4 TD’s on 52 carries. The top receiving threats for the Cougars have been Keith Corbin (24 rec, 333 yards, TD), Marquez Stevenson (16 rec, 278 yards, 3 TD), and Nathaniel Dell (17 rec, 252 yards, 2 TD). Leading the way for the Cougars backfield has been Kyle Porter who has 324 rushing yards & 4 TD’s on 81 carries.

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Defensively, Houston is allowing their opponents to average 33.0 ppg on 435.2 total yards per game (244.3 passing yds/g; 190.8 rushing yds/g).

The SMU Mustangs had their 2-game winning streak snapped and dropped to 7-2 (4-2 AAC) on the season after being defeated by the Tulsa Golden Hurricane, 28-24, this past Saturday. SMU looked like they had the game under control heading into halftime leading by a 24-7 margin, however, the Mustangs offense couldn’t find the scoreboard in the 2nd half and allowed Tulsa to pull off the come from behind victory with 14 unanswered points in the 4th quarter. SMU was outgained by a 455-351 margin in the loss. Leading the way for the Mustangs was QB Shane Buechele who completed 18 of 36 passes for 200 yards, 1 TD, and 1 INT.

On the season, SMU is averaging 38.7 ppg on 506.8 total yards per game (318.4 passing yds/g; 188.3 rushing yds/g). Offensively, SMU has been led by QB Shane Buechele who has completed 64.7% of his passes for 2,781 yards, 21 TD, & 4 INT. The top receiving threats for the Mustangs has been Rashee Rice (43 rec, 637 yards, 5 TD), Kylen Garson (32 rec, 509 yards, 4 TD), Danny Gray (33 rec, 448 yards, 4 TD), and Tyler Page (34 rec, 396 yards, 2 TD). SMU lost their top receiver in Reggie Roberson Jr (22 rec, 474 yards, 5 TD) earlier this season due to a knee injury. Leading the way for the SMU backfield has been Ulysses Bentley IV who has 877 rushing yards & 11 TD’s on 158 carries.

Defensively, SMU is allowing their opponents to average 28.6 ppg on 414.3 total yards per game (231.8 passing yds/g; 182.6 rushing yds/g).

The Cougars are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games following a ATS loss, however, are just 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Mustangs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

Both of these offenses can certainly light up the scoreboard, however, I do think SMU is a bit overrated and was somewhat exposed with their poor performance in the 2nd half agianst Tulsa. Houston is better than their record indicates as they had a tough schedule to start the season with games agianst BYU, UCF, and Cincinnati and as I think their offense will be able to put a similar performance against the SMU defense as we just saw agianst USF, I’m taking Houston on the M/L. Good Luck.

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Brett’s Pick Houston Cougars - M/L

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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