Texas State at Georgia Southern: 11/14/20 College Football Picks and Prediction
Photo by Jeremy Brevard-USA TODAY Sports
Georgia Southern Eagles (5-2) vs Texas State Bobcats (1-8)
Game Info: Saturday, November 14, 2020 at 3:30 pm (Allen E. Paulson Stadium)
Betting Odds: Georgia Southern Eagles -10 -- Over/Under: 52 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The Texas State Bobcats will travel to Allen E. Paulson Stadium to take on the Georgia Southern Eagles this Saturday afternoon in College Football action.
The Texas State Bobcats lost their 6th straight game and dropped to 1-8 (1-4 Sun Belt – West) on the season after being defeated by the Appalachian State Mountaineers, 38-17, this past Saturday. Texas State had no answers for the Appalachian State rushing attack and could not fight back after the Mountaineers took a 31-10 lead early in the 3rd quarter. Texas State was outgained by Appalachian State by a 426-420 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 2-0 margin in the loss. Leading the way for the Bobcats was RB Jahmyl Jeter who had 135 rushing yards on 11 carries.
On the season, Texas State is averaging 25.9 ppg on 368.4 total yards per game (216.3 passing yds/g; 152.1 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Texas State has been led by the RB trio of Brock Sturges (97 att, 483 yards, 5 TD), Calvin Hill (83 att, 426 yards, 3 TD), and Jahmyl Jeter (39 att, 280 yards, 2 TD). QB Tyler Vitt has completed 60.2% of his passes for 819 yards, 8 TD & 4 INT and looks like he has replaced Brady McBride (57.6 comp %, 1,125 yards, 9 TD, 7 INT) as the Bobcats starter. The top receiving threats of the Bobcats have been Marcell Barbee (27 rec, 393 yards, 8 TD), Jeremiah Haydel (27 rec, 293 yards, 3 TD), Jah’Marae Sheread (21 rec, 245 yards, TD), and Chandler Speights (14 rec, 174 yards, TD).
Defensively, Texas State is allowing their opponents to average 36.0 ppg on 475.1 total yards per game (285.1 passing yds/g; 190.0 rushing yds/g).
The Georgia Southern Eagles won their 2nd straight game and improved to 5-2 (3-2 Sun Belt – East) on the season after defeating the Troy Trojans, 20-13, this past Saturday. Georgia Southern was outstanding defensively agianst the Troy offense and was able to secure the victory after scoring 14 unanswered points over the final 7:37 of regulation. Georgia Southern outgained Troy by a 411-235 margin and won the turnover battle by a 2-1 margin in the victory. Leading the way for the Eagles was RB Gerald Green who had 109 rushing yards & 1 TD on 10 carries.
On the season, Georgia Southern is averaging 25.6 ppg on 367.4 total yards per game (107.4 passing yds/g; 260.0 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Georgia Southern is led by their rushing attack which includes the RB duo of J.D. King (116 att, 625 yards, 5 TD) and Wesley Kennedy III (44 att, 297 yards, 5 TD). QB Shai Werts has completed 58.2% of his passes for 738 yards, 5 TD, & 5 INT. Werts is also the 2nd leading rusher for the Eagles as he has 474 rushing yards & 3 TD’s on 90 carries. The top receiving threats for the Eagles have been Malik Murray (12 rec, 192 yards, TD), Khaleb Hood (12 rec, 110 yards, TD), and Beau Johnson (6 rec, 101 yards, 2 TD).
Defensively, Georgia Southern is holding their opponents to an average of 19.1 ppg on 329.3 total yards per game (227.7 passing yds/g; 101.6 rushing yds/g).
The Bobcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning record, however, are just 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. The Eagles are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games.
Texas State is better than there 1-8 record indicates as they have been competitive in games against SMU and Boston College, however, despite getting double-digit points, I think this is just a bad match-up for the Bobcats. Georgia Southern is a great team at home and as their defense should limit the Bobcats from putting up many points on the board, I think Georgia Southern does offensively agianst the Texas State 93rd ranked scoring defense to cover this double-digit spread. Good Luck!