Nevada at New Mexico: 11/14/20 College Football Picks and Prediction

Nevada at New Mexico: 11/14/20 College Football Picks and Prediction Photo by Stan Szeto-USA TODAY Sports

New Mexico Lobos (0-2) vs Nevada Wolf Pack (3-0)

Game Info: Saturday, November 14, 2020 at 6:30 pm (Sam Boyd Stadium)

Betting Odds: New Mexico Lobos +12 -- Over/Under: 61 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Nevada Wolf Pack will travel to Sam Boyd Stadium to take on the New Mexico Lobos this Saturday night in College Football action.

The Nevada Wolf Pack improved to 3-0 (3-0 Mountain West) on the season after defeating the Utah State Aggies, 34-9, on November 5th. Nevada fell behind 9-0 early midway through the 1st quarter, however, the Wolf Pack were able to dominate the Aggies on both sides of the ball the rest of the way and cruised to victory after taking a 28-9 lead on a 15-yard TD run by Toa Taua. Nevada outgained Utah State by a 542-210 margin in the victory. Leading the way for the Wolf Pack was WR Romeo Doubs who had 7 receptions for 137 yards & 3 TD’s.

On the season, Nevada is averaging 36.0 ppg on 511.7 total yards per game (397.0 passing yds/g; 114.7 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Nevada has been led by QB Carson Strong who has completed 73.3% of his passes for 1,181 yards & 9 TD’s. The top receiving threats for Strong and the Wolf Pack have been Romeo Doubs (26 rec, 473 yards, 5 TD), Cole Turner (15 rec, 257 yards, 2 TD), and Justin Lockhart (16 rec, 157 yards, TD). Leading the way for the Nevada backfield has been the duo of Toa Taua (24 att, 193 yards, 2 TD), and Devonte Lee (28 att, 139 yards, TD).

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Defensively, Nevada is allowing their opponents to average 20.7 ppg on 306.3 total yards per game (185.3 passing yds/g; 121.0 rushing yds/g).

The New Mexico Lobos are still searching for their first victory after falling to 0-2 (0-2 Mountain West) on the season after being defeated by the Hawai’i Rainbow Warriors, 39-33, this past Saturday. New Mexico had a solid lead early in the 2nd quarter, however, allowed Hawaii to fight back with 21 unanswered points and couldn’t get the come from behind victory after a 41-yard Hawai’i FG made a two-possession game with just 6:33 left in the game. New Mexico was outgained by Hawai’i by a 503-499 margin and could not get the victory despite forcing three Lobos turnovers. Leading the way for the Lobos was RB Nathaniel Jones who had 96 rushing yards & 1 TD on 13 carries.

On the season, New Mexico is averaging 27.0 ppg on 471.0 total yards per game (257.0 passing yds/g; 214.0 rushing yds/g). Offensively, New Mexico has been led by QB Tevaka Tuioti who has completed 56.1% of his passes for 475 yards, 4 TD, & 1 INT while also leading the Lobos in rushing with 140 yards & 1 TD on 19 carries. The top receiving targets for the Lobos have been Jordan Kress (6 rec, 120 yards, 2 TD), Emmanuel Logan-Greene (13 rec, 99 yards), and Andrew Erickson (5 rec, 99 yards, TD). Leading the New Mexico backfield has been the duo of Bobby Cole (22 att, 136 yards) and Nathaniel Jones (13 att, 96 yards, TD).

Defensively, New Mexico is allowing their opponents to average 38.5 ppg on 541.0 total yards per game (445.5 passing yds/g; 95.5 rushing yds/g).  

The Wolf Pack are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 conference games. The Lobos are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games overall and just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.

Nevada has looked good to start to season but it is hard not to contribute a lot of their success against the competition they have played as their last two wins have come against UNLV and Utah State. New Mexico kicked off their season with two tough games on the road against Hawai’i and San Jose State and despite their defensive struggled, their offense has been able to put up some decent points. New Mexico has shown a balanced offense that I think will be able to put up some points in this one and as this is just a bunch of points, I think the play here is to take the home team and the double-digit points. Good Luck!

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Brett’s Pick New Mexico Lobos +12

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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