Louisville at Virginia: 11/7/20 College Football Picks and Prediction

Louisville at Virginia: 11/7/20 College Football Picks and Prediction Photo by Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

Virginia Cavaliers (2-4) vs Louisville Cardinals (2-5)

Game Info: Saturday, November 7, 2020 at 8:00 pm (David A. Harrison III Field at Scott Stadium)

Betting Odds: Virginia Cavaliers -1.5 -- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Louisville Cardinals will travel to David A. Harrison III Field at Scott Stadium to take on the Virginia Cavaliers.

The Louisville Cardinals dropped to 2-5 (1-5 ACC) on the season after being defeated by the Virginia Tech Hokies, 42-35, this past Saturday. Louisville struggled stopping the Virginia Tech rushing attack and could not fight back after the Hokies took a 31-14 lead early in the 4th quarter. Louisville outgained Virginia Tech by a 548-466 margin, however, lost the turnover battle by a 3-0 margin in the loss. Leading the way for the Cardinals was RB Javian Hawkins who had 129 rushing yards & 1 TD on 17 carries.

On the season, Louisville is averaging 29.4 ppg on 435.3 total yards per game (250.1 passing yds/g; 185.1 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Louisville has been RB Javian Hawkins who has 822 rushing yards & 7 TD’s on 133 carries. QB Malik Cunningham has completed 63.4% of his passes for 1,746 yards, 15 TD, & 8 INT. Cunningham is also the 2nd leading rusher for the Cardinals as he has 220 rushing yards & 3 TD’s on 72 carries. The top receivers of Cunningham and the Cardinals have been Tutu Atwell (40 rec, 528 yards, 5 TD), Dez Fitzpatrick (22 rec, 443 yards, 2 TD), and Marshon Ford (20 rec, 226 yards, 5 TD).

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Defensively, Louisville is allowing their opponents to average 29.6 ppg on 395.6 total yards per game (194.6 passing yds/g; 201.0 rushing yds/g).

The Virginia Cavaliers snapped their 4-game losing streak and improved to 2-4 (2-4 ACC) on the season after defeating the 15th ranked North Carolina Tar Heels, 44-41, this past Saturday. Virginia was outstanding offensively agianst the Tar Heels and was able to hold on late for the victory after 28 unanswered points by the Cavaliers gave Virginia a 41-20 lead with 5:34 left in the 3rd quarter. Virginia was outgained by a 536-418 margin, however, did win the turnover battle by a 2-1 margin. Leading the way for the Cavaliers was QB Brennan Armstrong who completed 12 of 22 passes for 208 yards, 3 TD, & 1 INT while also adding 66 yards & 1 TD on the ground.

On the season, Virginia is averaging 27.2 ppg on 412.7 total yards per game (241.0 passing yds/g; 171.7 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Virginia has been led by QB Brennan Armstrong who has completed 55.0% of his passes for 985 yards, 10 TD, and 7 INT. Armstrong is also the 2nd leading rusher for the Cavaliers with 287 rushing yards & 2 TD. The top receivers for the Cavaliers have been Billy Kemp IV (45 rec, 402 yards, TD), Terrell Jana (28 rec, 339 yards, TD), Lavel Davis Jr. (9 rec, 210 yards, 3 TD), and Tony Poljan (24 rec, 205 yards, 4 TD). Leading the way for the Cavaliers backfield has been Wayne Taulapapa who has 330 rushing yards & 4 TD’s on 71 carries.

Defensively, Virginia is allowing their opponents to average 33.2 ppg on 439.0 total yards per game (312.2 passing yds/g; 126.8 rushing yds/g).

The Cardinals are 3-3-1 ATS on the season and 1-2-1 ATS in their last 4 away games. The Cavaliers are 4-2 ATS on the season and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.

Louisville has had a disappointing season as although their offense is certainly dangerous, their defense has really struggled slowing down opponents. Virginia is coming off their best win of the season agianst North Carolina and I think the Cavaliers a better team than their record indicates are being somewhat competitive in tough road games at Clemson & Miami. I expect a high scoring game in this one as I think both offenses will have success, however, as I think Virginia is the better team here, I am taking the Cavilers. Good Luck.

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Brett’s Pick Virginia Cavaliers -1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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