Troy at Arkansas State: 10/31/20 College Football Picks and Prediction

Troy at Arkansas State: 10/31/20 College Football Picks and Prediction Photo by Scott Sewell-USA TODAY Sports

Arkansas State Red Wolves (3-3) vs Troy Trojans (3-2)

Game Info: Saturday, October 31, 2020 at 12:00 pm (Centennial Bank Stadium)

Betting Odds: Arkansas State Red Wolves -5.5 -- Over/Under: 70.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Troy Trojans will travel to Centennial Bank Stadium to take on the Arkansas State Red Wolves this Saturday afternoon in College Football action.

The Troy Trojans had their 2-game winning streak snapped and dropped to 3-2 (1-1 Sun Belt) on the season after being defeated by the Georgia State Panthers, 36-34, this past Saturday. Troy fought back from a 33-21 deficit at the start of the 4th quarter to make it a game late, however, couldn’t convert the two-point conversation to force OT after a 11-yad TD reception by Reggie Todd with just :37 seconds left in regulation. Troy outgained Georgia State by a 447-379 margin, however, committed 4 turnovers in the loss. Leading the way for the Trojans was QB Jacob Free who completed 24 of 38 passes for 329 yards, 2 TD, & 2 INT.

On the season, Troy is averaging 31.2 ppg on 423.8 total yards per game (299.2 passing yds/g; 124.6 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Troy has been led by QB Gunnar Watson who has completed 69.5% of his passes for 1,159 yards, 10 TD, & 3 INT. Watson left last game due to an undisclosed injury and is currently questionable for this game. Jacob Free, who was solid in replacing Watson has completed 59.5% of his passes for 337 yards, 3 TD, & 2 INT. The top receiving targets for the Trojans have been Kaylon Geiger (27 rec, 348 yards, TD), Reggie Todd (20 rec, 277 yards, 4 TD), and Khalil McClain (18 rec, 199 yards, 4 TD). Leading the way for the Trojans backfield has been Kimani Vidal (45 att, 325 yards, 2 TD) and B.J. Smith (45 att, 175 yards, 2 TD; 19 rec, 202 yards).

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Defensively, Troy is allowing their opponents to average 28.8 ppg on 392.6 total yards per game (251.6 passing yds/g; 141.0 rushing yds/g).

The Arkansas State Red Wolves had their 2-game winning streak snapped and dropped to 3-3 (1-2 Sun Belt) on the season after being defeated by the Appalachian State Mountaineers, 45-17, this past Thursday. Arkansas State high scoring offense had trouble getting going on the road agianst the Mountaineers defense and could not fight back after going into halftime trailing by a 31-7 margin. Arkansas State was outgained by Appalachian State by a 521-368 margin and committed 2 turnovers in the loss. Leading the way for the Red Wolves was WR Jonathan Adams Jr. who had 134 receiving yards on 6 receptions.

On the season, Arkansas State is averaging 34.7 ppg on 474.7 total yards per game (369.3 passing yds/g; 105.3 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Arkansas State has been led by the QB duo of Layne Hatcher (62.3 Comp %, 1,074 yards, 10 TD, 2 INT) and Logan Bonner (61.8 Comp %, 1,055 yards, 11 TD, 3 INT). The top receiving threats for the Red Wolves have been Jonathan Adams Jr. (47 rec, 673 yards, 7 TD), Dahu Green (28 rec, 467 yards, 5 TD), and Brandon Bowling (23 rec, 301 yards, 4 TD). Leading the way for the Arkansas State backfield has been the duo of Jamal Jones (63 att, 267 yards, TD) and Lincoln Pare (35 att, 225 yards, TD).

Defensively, Arkansas State is allowing their opponents to average 40.7 ppg on 488.3 total yards per game (291.3 passing yds/g; 197.0 rushing yds/g).

The Trojans are 2-3 ATS on the season, and 2-3 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Red Wolves are 4-2 ATS on the season, and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.

This is going to be a fun game to watch as both teams love to pass the football and put points a ton of poitns on the board. As both pass defense has really struggled this year with Troy ranking 66th & Arkansas State ranking 89th (out of 101 teams), I expect this to be a high scoring shootout and I am going with the Over 70.5 in this one. Good Luck!

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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