TCU at Baylor: 10/31/20 College Football Picks and Prediction

TCU at Baylor: 10/31/20 College Football Picks and Prediction Photo by Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

Baylor Bears (1-2) vs TCU Horned Frogs (1-3)

Game Info: Saturday, October 31, 2020 at 12:00 pm (McLane Stadium)

Betting Odds: Baylor Bears +2.5 -- Over/Under: 50.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The TCU Horned Frogs will travel to McLane Stadium to take on the Baylor Bears this Saturday afternoon in College Football action.

The TCU Horned Frogs lost their 2nd straight game and dropped to 1-3 (1-3 Big 12) on the season after being defeated by the Oklahoma Sooners, 33-14, this past Saturday. TCU struggled on both ends of the field and never really could fight back into the game after falling behind by a 17-0 margin early in the 2nd quarter on a 50-yard TD reception by the Sooners Marvin Mims. TCU was outgained by Oklahoma by a 498-351 margin and did not force a turnover in the loss. Leading the way for the Horned Frogs was QB Max Duggan who completed 25 of 35 passes for 276 yards & 1 TD.

On the season, TCU is averaging 23.8 ppg on 412.3 total yards per game (264.8 passing yds/g; 147.5 rushing yds/g). Offensively, TCU has been led by QB Max Duggan who has completed 69.6% of his passes for 902 yards, 4 TD & 1 INT. Duggan is also the leading rusher for the Horned Frogs as he has 150 rushing yards and 3 TD’s on 52 carries. In the backfield with Duggan has been the RB duo of Kendre Miller (25 att, 137 yards) and Darwin Barlow (23 att, 111 yards, 2 TD). The top receiving threats for the Horned Frogs have been Taye Barber (19 rec, 214 yards, TD), Blair Conwright (13 rec, 184 yards, 1 TD), and Quentin Johnson (9 rec, 160 yards, TD).

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Defensively, TCU is allowing their opponents to average 30.5 ppg on 399.5 total yards per game (224.0 passing yds/g; 175.5 rushing yds/g).

The Baylor Bears lost their 2nd straight game and dropped to 1-2 (1-2 Big 12) on the season after being defeated by the Texas Longhorns, 27-16, this past Saturday. Baylor struggled offensively agianst the Texas defense and could not fight back after a 9-yard TD run by the Longhorns Sam Ehlinger gave Texas a 27-3 lead with :20 seconds left in the 3rd quarter. Baylor was outgained by Texas by a 429-316 margin in the loss. Leading the way for the Bears was QB Charlie Brewer who completed 30 for 43 passes for 256 yards & 2 TD.

On the season, Baylor is averaging 28.0 ppg on 308.0 total yards per game (210.0 passing yds/g; 98.0 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Baylor has been led by QB Charlie Brewer who has completed 65.4% of his passes for 627 yards, 6 TD, & 2 INT. The top receiving targets for Brewer and the Bears have been R.J. Sneed (15 rec, 161 yards, TD), Trestan Ebner (10 rec, 115 yards, TD), Gavin Holmes (15 rec, 101 yards, TD), and Josh Fleeks (11 rec, 92 yards, TD). Leading the way for the Baylor backfield has been John Lovett who has 122 rushing yards & 1 TD on 35 carries.

Defensively, Baylor is holding their opponents to an average of 22.7 ppg on 367.3 total yards per game (213.3 passing yds/g; 154.0 rushing yds/g).

The Horned Frogs are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games in October and 7-17 ATS in their last 24 conference games. The Bears are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 conference games and 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.

TCU has struggled this season and it is going to be hard for the Horned Frogs to pick up victories as they are allowing their opponents to average over 30.0 ppg and do not have much offensively outside of Max Duggan. It has been a tough season for Baylor overall as they have missed a ton of action due to COVID-19, however, this is a decent team have been competitive in their in their road losses at West Virginia & Texas. Baylor’s offense behind Charlie Brewer & John Lovett should be able to put up some points in this one and as I just don't see Max Duggan and the Horned Frogs offense finding success on the road, I think the clear play here is to take Baylor and the points. Good Luck! 

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Brett’s Pick Baylor Bears +2.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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