North Carolina at Virginia - 10/31/20 College Football Picks and Prediction

Defensively, North Carolina is allowing their opponents to average 25.0 ppg on 374.8 total yards per game (246.2 passing yds/g; 128.6 rushing yds/g).

The Virginia Cavaliers lost their 4th consecutive game and dropped to 1-4 (1-4 ACC) on the season after being defeated by the 11th ranked Miami Hurricanes, 19-14, this past Saturday. Virginia struggled putting up points against the Miami defense and could not fight back after a 1-yard TD run by the Hurricanes Donald Chaney Jr. gave Miami a 19-7 lead with 12:04 left in the 4th quarter. Virginia was outgained by a 444-366 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 1-0 margin in the loss. Leading the way for the Cavaliers was QB Brennan Armstrong who completed 16 of 30 passes for 181 yards & 2 TD while also racking up 91 rushing yards.

On the season, Virginia is averaging 23.8 ppg on 411.6 total yards per game (247.6 passing yds/g; 164.0 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Virginia has been led by QB Brennan Armstrong who has completed 55.1% of his passes for 777 yards, 7 TD, & 6 INT while also racking up 221 rushing yards & 1 TD on 53 carries. The top receiving threats for the Cavaliers and Armstrong have been Billy Kemp IV (41 att, 365 yards, TD), Terrell Jana (25 rec, 303 yards, TD), Lavel Davis Jr. (9 rec, 210 yards, 3 TD), and Tony Poljan (22 rec, 172 yards, 3 TD). Leading the way for the Cavaliers backfield has been Wayne Taulapapa who has 301 rushing yards & 3 TD’s on 61 carries.

Defensively, Virginia is allowing their opponents to average 31.6 ppg on 419.6 total yards per game (286.0 passing yds/g; 133.6 rushing yds/g).

The Tar Heels are 3-2 ATS on the season and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Cavaliers are 3-2 ATS on the season and 4-2 ATS in their last 6 home games.

North Carolina bounced back great after a very tough loss on the road agianst Florida State and showed how dangerous their offense, that currently ranks 20th in scoring offense and 8th in total offense, can be. Virginia is a better team that their 1-4 record indicates, however, their defense has struggled and it’s concerning that their pass defense is giving up almost 300 yards/game. North Carolina hasn’t looked great on the road this season, however, between the fact that NC State put up 38 points on the Cavaliers defense at home and that this line is currently under a TD, I think the play here is to take North Carolina to cover this road spread. Good Luck!