North Carolina at Virginia - 10/31/20 College Football Picks and Prediction
Photo by Adam Richins-USA TODAY Sports
Virginia Cavaliers (1-4) vs North Carolina Tar Heels (4-1)
Game Info: Saturday, October 31, 2020 at 12:00 pm (Scott Stadium)
Betting Odds: Virginia Cavaliers -- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds
Where to Watch: ACC Network Stream live sports and exclusive originals on ESPN+. Sign up now!
The 15th ranked North Carolina Tar Heels will travel to David A. Harrison III Field at Scott Stadium to take on the Virginia Cavaliers.
The 15th ranked North Carolina Tar Heels bounced back from their disappointing loss to Florida State and improved to 4-1 (4-1 ACC) on the season after defeating the 23rd ranked NC State Wolfpack, 48-21, this past Saturday. North Carolina has no trouble generating offense agianst the Wolfpack and easily cruised to victory after a 5-yard TD run by Javonte Williams gave the Tar Heels a 38-7 lead late in the 3rd quarter. North Carolina outgained NC State by a 578-392 margin and won the turnover battle by a 4-0 margin in the victory. Leading the way for the Tar Heels was RB Javonte Williams who has 160 yards & 3 TD’s on 19 carries.
On the season, North Carolina is averaging 37.8 ppg on 531.2 total yards per game (282.2 passing yds/g; 249.0 rushing yds/g). Offensively, North Carolina has been led by QB Sam Howell who has completed 64.2% of his passes for 1,403 yards, 10 TD, & 4 INT. The top receiving threats for Howell and the Tar Heels have been Dyami Brown (24 rec, 401 yards, 3 TD), Beau Corrales (13 rec, 238 yards, TD), Javonte Williams (9 rec, 200 yards, 2 TD), and Dazz Newsome (15 rec, 151 yards, TD). Leading the way for the Tar Heels backfield has been the duo of Michael Carter (74 att, 584 yards, 3 TD) and Javonte Williams (82 att, 562 yards, 10 TD).
Defensively, North Carolina is allowing their opponents to average 25.0 ppg on 374.8 total yards per game (246.2 passing yds/g; 128.6 rushing yds/g).
The Virginia Cavaliers lost their 4th consecutive game and dropped to 1-4 (1-4 ACC) on the season after being defeated by the 11th ranked Miami Hurricanes, 19-14, this past Saturday. Virginia struggled putting up points against the Miami defense and could not fight back after a 1-yard TD run by the Hurricanes Donald Chaney Jr. gave Miami a 19-7 lead with 12:04 left in the 4th quarter. Virginia was outgained by a 444-366 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 1-0 margin in the loss. Leading the way for the Cavaliers was QB Brennan Armstrong who completed 16 of 30 passes for 181 yards & 2 TD while also racking up 91 rushing yards.
On the season, Virginia is averaging 23.8 ppg on 411.6 total yards per game (247.6 passing yds/g; 164.0 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Virginia has been led by QB Brennan Armstrong who has completed 55.1% of his passes for 777 yards, 7 TD, & 6 INT while also racking up 221 rushing yards & 1 TD on 53 carries. The top receiving threats for the Cavaliers and Armstrong have been Billy Kemp IV (41 att, 365 yards, TD), Terrell Jana (25 rec, 303 yards, TD), Lavel Davis Jr. (9 rec, 210 yards, 3 TD), and Tony Poljan (22 rec, 172 yards, 3 TD). Leading the way for the Cavaliers backfield has been Wayne Taulapapa who has 301 rushing yards & 3 TD’s on 61 carries.
Defensively, Virginia is allowing their opponents to average 31.6 ppg on 419.6 total yards per game (286.0 passing yds/g; 133.6 rushing yds/g).
The Tar Heels are 3-2 ATS on the season and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Cavaliers are 3-2 ATS on the season and 4-2 ATS in their last 6 home games.
North Carolina bounced back great after a very tough loss on the road agianst Florida State and showed how dangerous their offense, that currently ranks 20th in scoring offense and 8th in total offense, can be. Virginia is a better team that their 1-4 record indicates, however, their defense has struggled and it’s concerning that their pass defense is giving up almost 300 yards/game. North Carolina hasn’t looked great on the road this season, however, between the fact that NC State put up 38 points on the Cavaliers defense at home and that this line is currently under a TD, I think the play here is to take North Carolina to cover this road spread. Good Luck!
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