Mississippi State at Kentucky: 10/10/20 College Football Picks and Prediction

Mississippi State at Kentucky: 10/10/20 College Football Picks and Prediction Photo by Matt Bush-USA TODAY Sports

Mississippi State Bulldogs (1-1) at Kentucky Wildcats (0-2)

College Football: Saturday, October 10, 2020 at 7:30 pm (Kroger Field)

The Line: Kentucky Wildcats -2.5 -- Over/Under: 55.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Mississippi State Bulldogs will travel to Kroger Field to take on the Kentucky Wildcats this Saturday night in College Football action.

The Mississippi State could not follow-up on their upset victory against LSU to start the season and dropped to 1-1 (1-1 SEC) on the season after being defeated by the Arkansas Razorbacks, 21-14, this past Saturday. Mississippi State was able to generate some through the passing game, however, struggled with turnovers and could not fight back after Arkansas took a 21-7 lead early in the 2nd half. Mississippi State outgained Arkansas by a 400-275 margin, however, committed 4 turnovers in the loss. Leading the way for the Bulldogs was QB K.J. Costello who completed 43 of 59 passes for 313 yards, 1 TD, and 3 INT.

On the season, Mississippi State is averaging 29.0 ppg on 516.0 total yards per game (468.0 passing yds/g; 48.0 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Mississippi State has been led by QB K.J. Costello who had completed 66.4% of his passes for 936 yards, 6 TD, & 5 INT. The top receiving threats for the Bulldogs and Costello have been Osirus Mitchell (12 rec, 244 yards, 2 TD), Kylin Hill (8 rec, 158 yards, TD), JaVonta Payton (8 rec, 145 yards, TD), and Tyrell Shavers (5 rec, 89 yards, TD). Leading the way for the Mississippi State backfield has been Jo’quavious Marks (13 att, 52 yards), Kylin Hill (8 att, 41 yards), and Dillon Johnson (9 att, 39 yards, TD).

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Defensively, Mississippi State is allowing their opponents to average 27.5 ppg on 350.0 total yards per game (278.5 passing yds/g; 71.5 rushing yds/g).

The Kentucky Wildcats dropped to 0-2 (0-2 SEC) on the season after being defeated by the Ole Miss Rebels, 42-41, this past Saturday. In a game that featured plenty of offense, Kentucky was able to force OT after tying the game with just 2:04 left in regulation and although Kentucky kicked off OT with a TD, the Wildcats missed the extra-point and allowed Ole Miss to pick up the victory after they scored on a 3-YD TD reception by Elijah Moore. Kentucky outgained Ole Miss by a 559-459 margin, however, did not force a Rebels turnover in the loss. Leading the way for Wildcats was QB Terry Wilson who completed 14 of 18 passes for 151 yards while also picking 129 yards & 3 TD’s on the ground.

On the season, Kentucky is averaging 27.0 ppg on 471.5 total yards per game (195.0 passing yds/g; 276.5 rushing yds/g). Offensively, Kentucky has been led by QB Terry Wilson who has completed 69.1% of his passes for 390 yards, 1 TD, and an INT. Wilson is also the leading rusher for the Wildcats as he has 171 rushing yards & 3 TD’s on 35 carries. In the backfield with Wilson has been Asim Rose (22 att, 148 yards, TD) & Christopher Rodriguez Jr. (26 att, 146 yards, 2 TD). The top receiving threats for the Wildcats have been Josh Ali (16 rec, 186 yards) and Akeem Hayes (4 rec, 54 yards, TD).

Defensively, Mississippi State is allowing their opponents to average 27.5 ppg on 350.0 total yards (278.5 passing yds/g; 71.5 rushing yds/g).

The Bulldogs are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games vs. Kentucky, however, are just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games. The Wildcats are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games.

Mississippi State has to be disappointed that they couldn’t defeat Arkansas, especially after holding the Razorbacks to just 275 total yards, however, if the Bulldogs are going to have success this season, they will need to ensure that they limit the turnovers in Mike Leach’s “Air Raid” offense. Kentucky has had a disappointing start to the season and have to be concerned that their defense has struggled agianst the pass over their first two games. Kentucky is a tough place to play, however, as Mississippi State should have success in their passing attack, along with the fact that they’ve been good against the rush, I think Mississippi State bounces back and gets a big road win. Take Mississippi State on the money line. Good Luck.   

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Brett’s Pick Mississippi State Bulldogs - M/L

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

Kentucky vs Mississippi State Free College Football Picks and Predictions CFB Tips Saturday 10/10/20

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