SEC: Arkansas at Mississippi State: 10/3/20 College Football Picks and Prediction

SEC: Arkansas at Mississippi State: 10/3/20 College Football Picks and Prediction Photo by Derick E. Hingle-USA TODAY Sports

Arkansas Razorbacks (0-1) at Mississippi State Bulldogs (1-0)

College Football: Saturday, October 3, 2020 at 7:30 pm (Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field)

The Line: Mississippi State Bulldogs -17 -- Over/Under: 64 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Arkansas Razorbacks will travel to Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field to take on the 16th ranked Mississippi State Bulldogs this Saturday night in College Football action.

The Arkansas Razorbacks dropped their 2020 season opener after being defeated by the 4th ranked Georgia Bulldogs, 37-10, this past Saturday. Arkansas did a great job of slowing down the Georgia offense in the 1st half and went into halftime with a 7-5 lead, however, the Razorbacks struggled on both ends in the 2nd half and allowed the Bulldogs to pull away by scoring 32 unanswered points to close out the game. Arkansas was outgained by Georgia by a 387-280 margin and committed 3 turnovers in the loss.

Offensively, Arkansas was led by WR Treylon Burks who had 102 receiving yards and a TD on 7 receptions. QB Feleipe Franks completed 19 of 36 passes for 200 yards, 1 TD, & 2 INT. The other top receivers for the Razorbacks were Mike Woods (3 rec, 40 yards), De’Vion Warren (1 rec, 28 yards), and Trelon Smith (3 rec, 13 yards). Leading the way for the Arkansas backfield was the duo of Trelon Smith (6 att, 38 yards) and Rakeem Boyd (11 att, 21 yards).


Defensively, Arkansas did a nice job agianst the rushing attack of the Bulldogs, holding them to just 121 yards on 42 carries (2.9 yds/carry). Leading the way defensively for the Razorbacks was Grant Morgan (13 tackles) & Bumper Pool (11 tackles; 0.5 sacks).

The 16th ranked Mississippi State Bulldogs make a statement win under new head coach Mike Leach as the Bulldogs defeated the 6th ranked LSU Tigers, 44-34, this past Saturday. Mississippi State and Leach’s “Air Raid” offense shredded the LSU defense throughout the game and was able to pull away late after a 24-yard TD reception by Osirus Mitchell gave the Bulldogs a double-digit lead with just 3:39 left in regulation. Mississippi State outgained LSU by a 632-425 margin and lost the turnover battle by a 4-2 margin in the victory.

Offensively, Mississippi State was led by QB K.J. Costello who completed 36 of 60 passes for 623 yards, 5 TD’s & 2 INT. The top receiving targets for Costello and the Bulldogs was Osirus Mitchell (7 rec, 183 yards, 2 TD), Kylin Hill (8 rec, 158 yards, TD), JaVonta Payton (6 rec, 122 yards), Tyrell Shavers (2 rec, 68 yards, TD), and Austin Williams (7 rec, 57 yards, TD). Leading the way for the Mississippi State backfield was Kylin Hill who had 34 yards on 7 carries.

Defensviely, Mississippi State completely shut down the LSU rushing attack as the Tigers finished the game with just 80 rushing yards on 38 carries (2.1 yds/carry). Leading the way for the Mississippi State defense was Shawn Preston Jr (11 tackles), Aaron Brule (10 tackles; 1 sack), and Erroll Thompson (10 tackles; 1 sack).

The Razorbacks are 5-10 ATS in their last 15 games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played in October. The Bulldogs are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games, however, are 0-6 ATS in their last six games played in week 5. 

There is always a chance of a let down after such a statement win to start the season, however, I’m a believer in the Mike Leach’s “Air Raid” offense and expect big things for the rest of the season for Mississippi State. Arkansas hung tough with Georgia, but they struggle agianst the Georgia passing game in the 2nd half and I think it is only going to be worse for the Razorbacks against K.J. Costello & Osirus Mitchell. Mississippi State should have a bit more success defensively agianst the Razorbacks and as I think we see the Bulldogs put up 40+ points in this one, I think Mississippi State does enough to cover this double-digit spread.

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Brett’s Pick Mississippi State Bulldogs -17

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

Mississippi State vs Arkansas Free College Football Picks and Predictions CFB Tips Saturday 10/3/20

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