CFB: Tulsa at UCF: 10/3/20 College Football Picks and Prediction

Tulsa Golden Hurricane (0-1) at UCF Knights (2-0)

College Football: Saturday, October 3, 2020 at 7:30 pm (Bounce House)

The Line: UCF Knights -18.5 -- Over/Under: 67 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Tulsa Golden Hurricane will travel to the Bounce House to take on the 11th ranked UCF Knights this Saturday night in College Football action.

The Tulsa Golden Hurricane dropped to 0-1 (0-0 AAC) on the season after losing their 2020 opener to the 11th ranked Oklahoma State Cowboys, 16-7, on September 19th. Tulsa led a low-scoring affair by a 7-3 margin going into the 4th quarter, however, the Golden Hurricane could not hang onto the victory after allowing the Cowboys to score 13 unanswered points to finish off the game. Tulsa was outgained by Oklahoma State by just a 279-278 margin and won the turnover battle by a 2-1 margin in the loss.

Offensively, Tulsa was led by QB Zack Smith who completed 18 of 28 passes for 166 yards, 1 TD, and an INT. Smith’s main targets in the passing game was Josh Johnson (5 rec, 63 yards, TD), Keylon Stokes (4 rec, 55 yards), and Sam Crawford Jr. (4 rec, 24 yards). The Golden Hurricane backfield was led by Deneric Prince who had 82 yards on 13 carries. RB T.K. Wilkerson also chipped in 22 rushing yards on 9 carries for Tulsa.

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Despite the loss, Tulsa was outstanding defensively against the Cowboys and held one of the best RB’s in College Football in Chuba Hubbard to just 93 yards on 27 carries (3.4 yds/car). Tulsa’s defense was led by Malcolm Rodriguez who had 10 tackles (1 sack) and Kolby Harvell-Peel who had 3 tackles and an INT.

The 11th ranked UCF Knights improved to 2-0 (1-0 AAC) on the season after defeating the East Carolina Pirates, 51-28, this past Saturday. UFC had no trouble generating offense agianst the East Carolina defense and easily cruised to victory after 41 unanswered points gave the Knights a 41-7 lead early in the 3rd quarter. UCF outgained East Carolina by a 632-459 margin and won the turnover battle by a 4-0 margin in the victory. Leading the way for the Knights was QB Dillon Gabriel who completed 32 of 47 passes for 408 yards & 4 TD.

On the season, UCF is averaging 50.0 ppg on 646.0 total yards per game (412.5 passing yds/g; 233.5 rushing yds/g). Offensively, UCF has been led by QB Dillon Gabriel who has completed 67.0% of his passes for 8 TD & 1 INT. The top receivers by Gabriel and the Knights have been Marlon Williams (23 rec, 290 yards, 2 TD), Jaylon Robinson (15 rec, 255 yards, 2 TD), Jacob Harris (7 rec, 97 yards, TD), and Tre Nixon (4 rec, 94 yards, 2 TD). Leading the way for the UFC backfield has been a trio of running backs in Greg McCrae (25 att, 133 yards, 2 TD), Otis Anderson (25 att, 110 yards, TD), and Bentavious Thompson (22 att, 107 yards, TD).

Defensively, UCF is allowing their opponents to average 24.5 ppg on 465.0 total yards per game (229.5 passing yds/g; 235.5 rushing yds/g).

The Golden Hurricane are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games on the road. The Knights are 4-8 ATS in their last 12 games and 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games played in week 5.

Tulsa had their game postponed last week, however, you had to impressed with their defensive effort against Oklahoma State in their season opener. Although I think the Tulsa defense is tough, I think they will struggle trying to contain the incredible passing attack of Dillon Gabriel and the Knights. UFC’s defense does a good job creating turnovers and as I just do not see Tulsa offensive being able to keep up UFC, I think UFC pulls away late and covers this spread at home. Good Luck!

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