CFB: Baylor at West Virginia: 10/3/20 College Football Picks and Prediction

CFB: Baylor at West Virginia: 10/3/20 College Football Picks and Prediction Photo by Ben Queen-USA TODAY Sports

Baylor Bears (1-0) at West Virginia Mountaineers (1-1)

College Football: Saturday, October 3, 2020 at 12:00 pm (Mountaineer Field at Milan Puskar Stadium)

The Line: West Virginia Mountaineers +2.5 -- Over/Under: 55 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Baylor Bears will travel to Mountaineer Field at Milan Puskar Stadium to take on the West Virginia Mountaineers this Saturday afternoon in College Football action.

The Baylor Bears (1-0; 1-0 Big 12) kicked off their 2020 season with a victory after defeating the Kansas Jayhawks, 47-14, this past Saturday. Baylor looked a bit rusty early in this game, however, the Bears were able to go into halftime with a 17-7 lead and easily pulled away after an 83-yard kickoff return by Trestan Ebner early in the 4th quarter gave Baylor a 40-7 lead. Baylor outgained Kansas by a 352-328 and did not commit a turnover in the victory.

Offensively, Baylor was led by a solid rushing attack that piled up 203 yards & 3 TD’s while being led by John Lovett who had 78 yards and a TD on 17 carries. Also contributing to the rushing attack was Craig Williams (5 car, 61 yards, TD) & Trestan Ebner (9 rec, 36 yards, TD). QB Charlie Brewer completed 15 of 23 passes for 142 yards & 1 TD. Brewer also picked up 23 rushing yards on 8 carries. Leading the way for the Bears receivers was RB Trestan Ebner (2 rec, 53 yards, TD), WR R. J. Sneed (5 rec, 51 yards), and WR Josh Fleeks (4 rec, 15 yards).

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Defensively, Baylor was solid against the Kansas passing attack as they held the Jayhawks to just 159 passing yards and no TD’s. Leading the way for the Bears defense was Terrel Bernard who had 8 tackles, including 2.5 sacks.

The West Virginia Mountaineers dropped to 1-1 (0-1 Big 12) on the season after being defeated by the 15th ranked Oklahoma State Cowboys, 27-13, this past Saturday. West Virginia came out flat against Oklahoma State, allowing the Cowboys to race out to a 17-0 lead and although they did fight back to make it a one possession game early in the 4th quarter, the offense couldn’t get anything going for the final 9:01 of regulation. West Virginia outgained Oklahoma State by a 353-342 margin, however, did lose the turnover battle by a 2-1 margin in the loss. Leading the way for the Mountaineers was WR Winston Wright Jr. who had 127 receiving yards and a TD on 6 receptions.

On the season, West Virginia is averaging 34.5 ppg on 488.5 total yards per game (290.0 passing yds/g; 198.5 rushing yds/g). Offensively, West Virginia has been led by QB Jarret Doege who has completed 62.9% of his passes for 513 yards, 4 TD, and 0 INT. The top targets for the Mountaineers passing attack has been Winston Wright Jr. (9 rec, 158 yards, TD), Sam James (9 rec, 94 yards, TD), T.J. Simmons (4 rec, 82 yards), and Bryce Ford-Wheaton (5 rec, 80 yards, TD). Leading the way for the West Virginia backfield has been the trio of Leddie Brown (36 car, 227 yards, 2 TD), Alec Sinkfield (22 car, 134 yards, 2 TD), and Tony Mathis Jr. (18 car, 55 yards, TD).

Defensively, West Virginia is allowing their opponents to average 18.5 ppg on 274.0 total yards per game (135.0 passing yds/g; 139.0 rushing yds/g).

The Bears are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. Big-12 opponents. The Mountaineers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 Saturday games and just 5-14-1 ATS in their last 20 games when playing as the underdog. 

This should be a competitive game as both teams feature solid passing attacks that can put up points on the board in a hurry. Baylor was outstanding last season, however, the defense is going to take a step back this season as it only returned two starters and I can’t believe that it was really tested against a Kansas team that is once again going to struggle this season. West Virginia is a tough place to play and as I think the Mountaineers will find success offensively agianst the Bears in this one, I think the play here is to take West Virginia and the points at home. Good Luck.

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Brett’s Pick West Virginia Mountaineers +2.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

West Virginia vs Baylor Free College Football Picks and Predictions CFB Tips Saturday 10/3/20

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