SMU at North Texas - 9/19/20 College Football Picks and Prediction

SMU at North Texas - 9/19/20 College Football Picks and Prediction Photo by Timothy Flores-USA TODAY Sports

SMU Mustangs (1-0) at North Texas Mean Green (1-0)

College Football: Saturday, September 19, 2020 at 6:00 pm (Apogee Stadium)

The Line: North Texas Mean Green +14 -- Over/Under: 66.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The SMU Mustangs will travel to Apogee Stadium to take on the North Texas Mean Green this Saturday night in College Football action.

The SMU Mustangs (1-0; 0-0 AAC) opened of their 2020 season with a victory after defeating the Texas State Bobcats, 31-24, on September 5th. SMU allowed Texas State to hang around for the majority of the game, however, the Mustangs pulled away late after a 32-yard FG by Chris Naggar gave SMU a 31-21 lead with just 2:20 left in regulation. SMU outgained Texas State by a 544-416 margin in the victory, however, did lose the turnover battle by a 3-2 margin.

SMU averaged an incredible 41.9 ppg last season and despite losing some of their offensive weapons, including James Proche, they do bring back former Texas Longhorn, Shane Buechele. In their victory agianst Texas State, Buechele completed 26 of 36 passes for 367 passing yards, 1 TD, and 2 INT. Buechele’s main targets in the passing game were Rashee Rice (5 rec, 101 yards), Reggie Roberson Jr. (6 rec, 99 yards, 1 TD), and Danny Gray (4 rec, 72 yards). Lading the way for the SMU backfield was TJ McDaniel (27 att, 130 yards, TD) and Ulysses Bentley IV (11 att, 49 yards, 2 TD).

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Defensively, SMU is coming off a 2019 season in which they allowed their opponents to average 33.4 ppg on 445.0 total yards per game (156.4 rushing yds/game; 288.6 passing yds/g). SMU did not look that much approved on the defensive end agianst the Bobcats and were led by Richard McBryde and Chevin Calloway who had 7 tackles each.

The North Texas Mean Green (1-0; 0-0 C-USA) kicked off their 2020 season with a solid 57-31 victory over the FCS Houston Baptist Huskies on September 5th. North Texas had no trouble putting points up on the board agianst the Huskies and pulled away after 21 unanswered points in the 3rd quarter gave North Texas a 43-10 lead. North Texas outgained Houston Baptist by a 721-569 margin and had 33 first downs in the victory.

Offensively, North Texas averaged 30.6 ppg last season but no longer have long time QB, Mason Fine behind center. Taking over for Fine, was Jason Bean who completed 11 of 18 attempts for 217 yards, 3 TD’s, & 1 INT. Bean did a great job spreading the ball around and the Mean Green’s top receivers for the game were Greg White (2 rec, 76 yards, TD), Jyaire Shorter (2 rec, 72 yards), and Jaelon Darden (5 rec, 71 yards, 3 TD). Leading the way for the Mean Green backfield was Oscar Adaway III (5 att, 118 yards, 2 TD) and DeAndre Torrey (11 att, 85 yards).

Defensively, North Texas allowed opponents to average 32.5 ppg on 410.9 total yards per game (188.6 rushing yds/game; 222.33 passing yds/game last season and can’t be encouraged by the current status of their defense after allowing Houston Baptist to gain over 550 yards of offense against them. Leading the way for the Mean Green defense in their victory was KD Davis who had 9 tackles and a sack.

the Mustangs are 4-1 ATTS in their last five games in September, however, are just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Mean Green are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog. 

SMU looked a bit sluggish in their opener against Texas State, but I think the offense is going to have no problems putting up points against a weak North Texas defense. North Texas will put up a few points in this one, as I expect SMU to put up 40-50 points against the Mean Green defense, I think SMU will cover this spread. Good Luck.

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Brett’s Pick SMU Mustangs -14

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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