Texas State 2020 Win Total - College Football Pick and Prediction
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Breaking Down the Texas State Win Total
2020 College Football Season
Texas State: O/U 3.0 Wins -- Title Odds:
The Texas State Bobcats will be looking to improve off of a 2019 campaign that saw the team struggle in the Sun Belt West. Texas State finished the 2019 season with an overall record of (3-9), while going (2-6) in SUN Belt play. The offense was not poetent during the 2019 season, averaging just 18.4 points per game, which ranked 121st at the FBS level. The defense allowed an average of 32.6 points per contest. The program is under the direction of Jake Spavital.
The offense was guided by quarterback Tyler Vitt. Vitt passed for 1,590 yards, while throwing for 11 touchdowns and 14 interceptions. Running back Caleb Twyford rushed for 488 yards and 2 scores during the 2019 season. Both return for the 2020 campaign. Hutch White hauled in 67 receptions for 618 yards and 2 touchdowns last season. However, White was a senior last year. Javen Banks is the leading returner for most receiving yards last season, collecting 367 yards and 4 scores last year.
As a team the defense totaled 13 sacks and 7 interceptions. The defense was led by linebacker Bryan London II. London signed as an undrafted free agent with the Rams, after having a team high 118 tackles. Texas State did not have an electric pass rush, registering just over 1 sack per game. Linebacker Nikolas Daniels led the team in sacks with 4.5. Daniels was a senior a year ago. The secondary will have the likes of Jarron Morris for the 2020 season. Morris collected 7 pass break ups and 2 interceptions as a sophomore during the 2019 season.
Let us take a look at the Texas State schedule for the 2020 season.
Sept. 5 SMU
Sept. 12 UTSA
Sept. 19 at ULM
Sept. 26 Ohio
Oct. 3 at New Mexico State
Oct. 8 at Troy
Oct. 17 at South Alabama
Oct. 31 Louisiana
Nov. 7 Appalachian State
Nov. 14 at Georgia Southern
Nov. 21 Arkansas State
Nov. 28 Coastal Carolina
The Bobcats open the season against SMU, before taking on UTSA. The rest of the non-conference schedule features a home game against Ohio, before traveling to New Mexico State.
The projected win total sits at 3 wins. Texas State will be on the low end of the stick, when matched up against the majority of teams on their schedule. Texas State avoids having to play Georgia State this season, but does have to play both Appalachian State and Louisiana. Both programs combined to go 24-4 last season. Texas State is a program that had a defense rank 107th in most points allowed per game. The program saw a few of their key players move on, which won’t help Texas State. I’m going to side with the under, as I just don’t see Texas State securing more than 3 wins, especially with their home games being against the tougher teams in the Sun Belt.