Penn State vs. Memphis - 12/28/19 College Football Cotton Bowl Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Penn State vs. Memphis - 12/28/19 College Football Cotton Bowl Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports

Memphis Tigers (12-1) at Penn State Nittany Lions (10-2)

College Football: Saturday, December 28, 2019 at 12:00 pm (AT&T Stadium)

The Line: Penn State Nittany Lions -7 -- Over/Under: 60

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The Memphis Tigers and Penn State Nittany Lions meet Saturday in the college football Cotton Bowl at AT&T Stadium.

The Memphis Tigers are riding a six-game winning streak and can win 12 games for the first time in school history. The Memphis Tigers have won their last three non-home games. Brady White is completing 64.1 percent of his passes for 3,560 yards, 33 touchdowns and nine interceptions. White has two or more touchdown passes in his last 11 games. Damonte Coxie and Antonio Gibson have combined for 1,780 receiving yards and 17 touchdowns while Kedarian Jones has 35 receptions. The Memphis Tigers ground game is averaging 196.2 yards per contest, and Kenneth Gainwell leads the way with 1,425 yards and 12 touchdowns. Defensively, Memphis is allowing 24.4 points and 372.3 yards per game. Austin Hall leads the Memphis Tigers with 69 tackles, Bryce Huff has six sacks and Quindell Johnson has two interceptions.

The Penn State Nittany Lions have split their last four games and look to win 11 games for the third time in the last four years. The Penn State Nittany Lions have won three of their last five non-home games. Sean Clifford is completing 59.5 percent of his passes for 2,521 yards, 22 touchdowns and six interceptions. Clifford and Will Levis have combined for 24 touchdowns and eight interceptions. KJ Hamler and Pat Freiermuth have combined for 1,326 receiving yards and 15 touchdowns while Jahan Dotson has 24 receptions. The Penn State Nittany Lions ground game is averaging 173.5 yards per contest, and Journey Brown leads the way with 688 yards and 10 touchdowns. Defensively, Penn State is allowing 14.1 points and 330.2 yards per game. Micah Parsons leads the Penn State Nittany Lions with 95 tackles, Yetur Gross-Matos has 8.5 sacks and John Reid has two interceptions.

The Tigers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games, 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games in December and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 bowl games. The Nittany Lions are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games, 20-9-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in December. The under is 7-3 in Nittany Lions last 10 games overall. The over is 7-3 in Tigers last 10 games overall.

Most people are going to run to the window to bet the Penn State Nittany Lions because they're the popular public team and many aren't aware of Memphis and its ability. I'm ignoring the side here and backing the over. Both of these offenses are led by talented quarterbacks who have weapons on the outside and can score quickly and often. We should see even more of that on the fast track and indoor stadium of Jerry's World. The over has been a dominating trend this season for Memphis and Penn State has scored 28 or more points seven times. This has the potential to be one of the higher scoring bowl games this season. 


The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.