LSU vs. Oklahoma - 12/28/19 College Football Peach Bowl Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Jason Getz-USA TODAY Sports
Oklahoma Sooners (12-1) at LSU Tigers (13-0)
College Football: Saturday, December 28, 2019 at 4:00 pm (Mercedes-Benz Stadium)
The Line: LSU Tigers -13 -- Over/Under: 75.5
The Oklahoma Sooners and the LSU Tigers meet in the Peach Bowl in college football action from Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
The Oklahoma Sooners come into the college football playoff and the Peach Bowl as the #4-ranked team, finishing the year with an overall record of 12-1, including an 8-1 mark in Big 12 conference play to finish in one of the two championship game spots. In the Big 12 championship, Oklahoma took down Baylor by a final score of 30-23 to secure their spot in the final four. Jalen Hurts has thrown for 3,634 yards, 32 touchdowns and 7 interceptions on 71.8% passing while also leading the Sooners in rushing with 1,255 rushing yards and 18 touchdowns on the ground. Kennedy Brooks had 976 rushing yards and 5 TDs while Rhamondre Stevenson added 515 rushing yards and 6 touchdowns. CeeDee Lamb led OU with 1,208 yards on 58 catches with 14 touchdowns while Charleston Rambo added 734 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, Kenneth Murray led the Sooners with 95 total tackles with 4 sacks while Ronnie Perkins led the Sooners with 6 sacks and Brendan Radley-Hiles had a pair of interceptions. As a team, Oklahoma is averaging 554.2 yards of total offense and 43.2 points per game while allowing 331.3 yards of total defense and 24.5 points per game against this season.
The LSU Tigers enter the game as the #1-ranked team after finishing the year with a 13-0 overall record, including 8-0 in SEC conference play to finish atop the SEC West division. The Tigers took down Georgia in the conference championship game before being proclaimed the top team heading into the playoff. Joe Burrow has thrown for 4,715 yards, 48 touchdowns and 6 interceptions on 77.9% passing while Clyde Edwards-Helaire led the Tigers in rushing with 1,290 yards and 16 touchdowns. Ja’Marr Chase led LSU with 73 grabs for 1,498 yards and 18 touchdowns while Justin Jefferson had 1,207 yards and 14 TDs on a team-high 88 catches and Terrace Marshall Jr. added 545 receiving yards with 10 touchdowns. Defensively, Jacob Phillips led LSU with 97 total tackles while Jacoby Stevens had a team-high 5 sacks and Derek Stingley Jr. added a team-high 6 interceptions. As a team, LSU is averaging 554.5 yards of total offense and 47.8 points per game while allowing 342 yards of total defense and 21.2 points per game against this season.
Oklahoma is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall and 4-11 ATS in their last 15 neutral site games while the under is 8-2 in their last 10 games against the SEC. LSU is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games against the Big 12 and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games against a team with a winning record while the under is 5-2 in their last 7 neutral site games.
I’d like to give Oklahoma a shot with the points as this seems like a lot to give up between two solid offenses, but the difference for me is that LSU plays a more consistent offensive game that can score points at will, while I find that Oklahoma relies on points from big plays and I don’t think those big plays are coming against the LSU defense. I just think the tandem of Burrow, Edwards-Helaire, Chase and Jefferson end up being too much for the Sooners’ defense, so I’ll lay the points with LSU in this one.