Michigan State vs. Wake Forest - 12/27/19 College Football Pinstripe Bowl Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Michigan State vs. Wake Forest - 12/27/19 College Football Pinstripe Bowl Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Adam Richins-USA TODAY Sports

Michigan State Spartans (6-6) at Wake Forest Demon Deacons (8-4)

College Football: Friday, December 27, 2019 at 3:20 pm (Yankee Stadium)

The Line: Wake Forest Demon Deacons +4 -- Over/Under: 50

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The Michigan State Spartans and Wake Forest Demon Deacons meet Friday in the college football Pinstripe Bowl at Yankee Stadium.

The Michigan State Spartans need a win here to finish with a winning record and have lost five of their last seven games. The Michigan State Spartans have lost three of their last four non-home games. Brian Lewerke is completing 58.6 percent of his passes for 2,759 yards, 16 touchdowns and 12 interceptions. Lewerke has one or less touchdown passes in 12 of his last 16 games. Cody White and Darrell Stewart Jr. have combined for 1,519 receiving yards and nine touchdowns while Matt Seybert has 26 receptions. The Michigan State Spartans ground game is averaging 123 yards per contest, and Elijah Collins leads the way with 892 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Michigan State is allowing 22.7 points and 319.2 yards per game. Antjuan Simmons leads the Michigan State Spartans with 81 tackles, Kenny Willekes has nine sacks and Josiah Scott has three interceptions.

The Wake Forest Demon Deacons enter this bowl game splitting their last eight games. The Wake Forest Demon Deacons have lost three straight non-home games. Jamie Newman is completing 62.3 percent of his passes for 2,693 yards, 23 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. Newman has one touchdown pass in his last three games. Sage Surratt and Kendall Hinton have combined for 1,954 receiving yards and 14 touchdowns while Scotty Washington has 35 receptions. The Wake Forest Demon Deacons ground game is averaging 175.6 yards per contest, and Cade Carney leads the way with 556 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Wake Forest is allowing 29.3 points and 409.8 yards per game. Ryan Smenda Jr. leads the Wake Forest Demon Deacons with 72 tackles, Carlos Basham Jr. has 10 sacks and Amari Henderson has four interceptions.

The Spartans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 bowl games, 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games and 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games overall. The Demon Deacons are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 bowl games, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on grass. The under is 15-5 in Spartans last 20 games overall. The under is 7-3 in Demon Deacons last 10 games overall. 

The Michigan State Spartans are the more physical team that should have the advantage in the trenches and the last thing they want is to finish a season with a losing record. The Wake Forest Demon Deacons have cooled off drastically since their 5-0 SU start to the season, but this team can still put points on the board and will have a dangerous quarterback leading the way. Michigan State isn't the same team we've seen in the past and scoring points can often be tougher than pulling teeth. If forced to pick this game, I'd lean toward the points. The Michigan State Spartans have trouble winning games due to inept offense, let alone covering chalk.

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Randy’s Pick Wake Forest Demon Deacons +4

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.