Washington vs. Boise State - 12/21/19 Las Vegas Bowl College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Washington vs. Boise State - 12/21/19 Las Vegas Bowl College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Brian Losness-USA TODAY Sports

Boise State Broncos (12-1) at Washington Huskies (7-5)

College Football: Saturday, December 21, 2019 at 7:30 pm (Sam Boyd Stadium)

The Line: Washington Huskies -3 -- Over/Under: 49

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The Boise State Broncos and the Washington Huskies meet in the Las Vegas Bowl in college football action from Sam Boyd Stadium.

The Boise State Broncos enter this game as the Mountain West conference champion, finishing the year with a 12-1 overall record, including a perfect 8-0 mark in MW conference play to finish atop the Mountain division, booking their spot in the conference championship game, a game that the Broncos defeated Hawaii by a final score of 31-10. Jaylon Henderson has thrown for 1,032 yards, 11 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on 63.2% passing while George Holani leads Boise State in rushing with 979 rushing yards and 7 touchdowns and Robert Mahone has 420 rushing yards and 6 TDs. John Hightower leads Boise State in receiving with 923 receiving yards and 8 receiving touchdowns while Khalil Shakir has a team-high 60 catches for 834 yards and 6 scores. Defensively, Riley Whimpey leads Boise Staet with 72 total tackles while Kekoa Nawahine has 3 interceptions and Curtis Weaver has a team-high 13.5 sacks. As a team, Boise State is averaging 441.5 yards of total offense and 36.8 points per game while allowing 347.5 yards of total defense and 20.6 points per game against this season.

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The Washington Huskies enter this game representing the Pac-12 after finishing the year with a 7-5 overall record, including a 4-5 mark in Pac-12 conference play to finish in a three-way tie for 2nd in the North division. Jacob Eason has thrown for 2,922 yards, 22 touchdowns and 8 interceptions on 63.8% passing while Salvon Ahmed has rushed for 1,000 yards and 9 touchdowns and Richard Newton has 429 rushing yards and 9 TDs of his own. Hunter Bryant leads Washington in receiving with 825 receiving yards while Aaron Fuller has a team-high 54 grabs for 673 yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, Elijah Molden leads Washington with 70 total tackles and 3 interceptions while Joe Tryon has a team-high 8 sacks. As a team, Washington is averaging 397.3 yards of total offense and 31.5 points per game while allowing 358.3 yards of total defense and 20.4 points per game against this season.

Boise State is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 bowl games while the under is 9-2 in their last 11 games against a team with a winning record. Washington is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games against a team with a winning record while the under is 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite. Boise State is 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings between these two teams.

It’s ironic that Chris Peterson’s final game as Washington’s head coach comes against his former team, so there may be a bit of extra motivation there. However, Washington has some players sitting out of this game to protect against injury with the NFL draft on the horizon, and Trey Adams and Hunter Bryant are key parts of Washington’s offense. Boise State has been dynamite all season long, and especially since their quarterback change midseason, and I simply think the wrong team is favored here. I’ll take the points with Boise State in a game I see the Broncos winning outright.

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Chris’s Pick Boise State +3

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.