Arkansas State vs. FIU - 12/21/19 College Football Camellia Bowl Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Arkansas State vs. FIU - 12/21/19 College Football Camellia Bowl Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

FIU Panthers (6-6) at Arkansas State Red Wolves (7-5)

College Football: Saturday, December 21, 2019 at 5:30 pm (Cramton Bowl)

The Line: Arkansas State Red Wolves -3 -- Over/Under:

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The Florida International Panthers and Arkansas State Red Wolves meet Saturday in the college football Camellia Bowl at the Cramton Bowl.

The Florida International Panthers have split their last six games and look for back-to-back bowl wins for the first time in school history. The Florida International Panthers have lost all five non-home games this season. James Morgan is completing 58 percent of his passes for 2,248 yards, 13 touchdowns and three interceptions. Morgan has one or less touchdown passes in four of his last six games. Tony Gaiter IV and Shemar Thornton have combined for 1,199 receiving yards and nine touchdowns while Austin Maloney has 23 receptions. The Florida International Panthers ground game is averaging 168 yards per contest, and Anthony Jones leads the way with 802 yards and nine touchdowns. Defensively, FIU is allowing 26.7 points and 379.8 yards per game. Jamal Gates leads the Florida International Panthers with 83 tackles, Alexy Jean-Baptiste has 4.5 sacks and Rishard Dames has three interceptions.

The Arkansas State Red Wolves have won four of their last five games and look for their fourth bowl win in school history. The Arkansas State Red Wolves have split their last six non-home games. Layne Hatcher is completing 68.3percent of his passes for 2,553 yards, 23 touchdowns and nine interceptions. Hatcher and Logan Bonner have combined for 33 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. Omar Bayless and Jonathan Adams Jr. have combined for 2,261 receiving yards and 20 touchdowns while Kirk Merritt has 64 receptions. The Arkansas State Red Wolves ground game is averaging 126.8 yards per contest, and Marcel Murray leads the way with 782 yards and six touchdowns. Defensively, Arkansas State is allowing 34.8 points and 481.2 yards per game. Darreon Jackson leads the Arkansas State Red Wolves with 107 tackles, William Bradley-King has 8.5 sacks and Jeremy Smith has two interceptions. 

The Golden Panthers are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win. The Red Wolves are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in December. The over is 6-1 in Golden Panthers last 7 games following a ATS win. The under is 4-1 in Red Wolves last 5 games in December. The home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

It wasn't that long ago when these teams were rivals in the Sun Belt and Arkansas State has won five of the last seven meetings, but they haven't played since 2012. The Arkansas State Red Wolves have been the more consistent team throughout the season and just played in Montgomery a couple of years ago. The Florida International Panthers haven't won a game outside of Miami all year and have struggled to string wins together despite the amount of talent on this roster. I have more trust in Arkansas State getting the job done, so I'll lay the field goal with the Red Wolves.

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Randy’s Pick Arkansas State Red Wolves -3

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.