Navy vs. Army - 12/14/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Danny Wild-USA TODAY Sports
Army Black Knights (5-7) at Navy Midshipmen (9-2)
College Football: Saturday, December 14, 2019 at 3:00 pm (Lincoln Financial Field)
The Line: Navy Midshipmen -6 -- Over/Under: 42
The Army Black Knights and Navy Midshipmen meet Saturday in college football action at the Lincoln Financial Field.
The Army Black Knights have lost five of their last seven games and need a win to become bowl eligible. The Army Black Knights have lost four straight non-home games. Kelvin Hopkins Jr. is completing 42.7 percent of his passes for 570 yards, four touchdowns and five interceptions. The Army Black Knights have 13 touchdown passes dating back to last season. Camden Harrison and Artice Hobbs IV have combined for 750 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Brandon Walters has four receptions. The Army Black Knights ground game is averaging 311.6 yards per contest, and Kelvin Hopkins Jr. leads the way with 706 yards and seven touchdowns. Defensively, Army is allowing 22.3 points and 337.8 yards per game. Cole Christiansen leads the Army Black Knights with 103 tackles, Elijah Riley has four sacks and Ryan Velez has two interceptions.
The Navy Midshipmen look for a third straight win to win double-digit games for the fifth time in school history. The Navy Midshipmen have won three of their last four non-home games. Malcolm Perry is completing 54.4 percent of his passes for 1,027 yards, six touchdowns and three interceptions. The Navy Midshipmen have 13 touchdown passes dating back to last season. Mychal Cooper and CJ Williams have combined for 565 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Ryan Mitchell has seven receptions. The Navy Midshipmen ground game is averaging 360.8 yards per contest, and Perry leads the way with 1,500 yards and 19 touchdowns. Defensively, Navy is allowing 24.2 points and 342.4 yards per game. Diego Fagot leads the Navy Midshipmen with 85 tackles, Jacob Springer has seven sacks and Chelen Garnes has two interceptions.
The Black Knights are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games and 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Midshipmen are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games, 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games and 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 games overall. The under is 17-6 in Black Knights last 23 neutral site games. The over is 4-1 in Midshipmen last 5 games overall. The Black Knights are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The underdog is 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Navy and 14-2 in the last 16 meetings.
Each of the last five meetings between Army and Navy have been decided by seven or less points and the underdog has thrived in all of those games. The Army Black Knights have come up short a lot this season, but five of their seven losses have been decided by single digits, including a road overtime loss to Michigan. Outside of road losses to Memphis and Notre Dame, the Navy Midshipmen have been one of the more consistent teams in the AAC and have topped 30 points in nine of their 11 games. I usually like to side with the underdog in these games and Army has a lot to play for with a bowl on the table, but Navy has been the far more consistent team and has an offense that can run away with things. I'll lay the six points with Navy.