Wisconsin vs. Ohio State - 12/7/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Joe Maiorana-USA TODAY Sports
Ohio State Buckeyes (12-0) at Wisconsin Badgers (10-2)
College Football: Saturday, December 7, 2019 at 8:00 pm (Lucas Oil Stadium)
The Line: Wisconsin Badgers +17 -- Over/Under: 54
The Ohio State Buckeyes and Wisconsin Badgers meet Saturday in the college football Big Ten Championship at Lucas Oil Stadium.
The Ohio State Buckeyes hope to complete the season undefeated and return to the college football playoff as a top-two seed. The Ohio State Buckeyes have lost two non-home games since 2017. Justin Fields is completing 69.4 percent of his passes for 2,352 yards, 33 touchdowns and one interception. Fields has three or more touchdown passes in seven of the first 11 games. Chris Olave and Binjimen Victor have combined for 1,117 receiving yards and 16 touchdowns while KJ Hill has 42 receptions. The Ohio State Buckeyes ground game is averaging 282 yards per contest, and J.K. Dobbins leads the way with 1,446 yards and 15 touchdowns. Defensively, Ohio State is allowing 10.5 points and 217.4 yards per game. Malik Harrison leads the Ohio State Buckeyes with 61 tackles, Chase Young has 16.5 sacks and Jeff Okudah has three interceptions.
The Wisconsin Badgers are riding a four-game winning streak and hope to win their 15th conference title in school history. The Wisconsin Badgers have won five of their last seven non-home games. Jack Coan is completing 72.7 percent of his passes for 2,029 yards, 15 touchdowns and four interceptions. Coan has one or less touchdown passes in six of his last eight games. Quintez Cephus and Jake Ferguson have combined for 916 receiving yards and seven touchdowns while AJ Taylor has 21 receptions. The Wisconsin Badgers ground game is averaging 250.3 yards per contest, and Jonathan Taylor leads the way with 1,685 yards and 18 touchdowns. Defensively, Wisconsin is allowing 14.4 points and 268.4 yards per game. Chris Orr leads the Wisconsin Badgers with 64 tackles, Zack Baun has 11 sacks and Eric Burrell has three interceptions.
The Buckeyes are a dominating 9-2 ATS in their last 11 conference games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in December and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The Badgers are 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win. The Buckeyes are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings and the underdog is 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings. The over is 4-0 in Badgers last 4 games overall. The over is 5-1 in Buckeyes last 6 road games.
The Ohio State Buckeyes are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as a double-digit favorite. The Wisconsin Badgers are 5-5 ATS in their last 10 games as a double-digit favorite. The Wisconsin Badgers are always one of the more well prepared teams in the country and they have a style they stick to that usually works. So getting this amount of free points is tempting on the surface. The problem is Wisconsin lost to Ohio State by 31 points when these teams met in late October, scoring just seven points and producing just nine first downs. Unlike most teams in the Big Ten, the Wisconsin Badgers can't just line up and run the ball over and over against Ohio State. There needs to be balance against a good offense, and I don't see it from the Badgers. The Ohio State Buckeyes have been the most consistent team in the country all year and have done nothing but cover numbers in the process. There's no reason to shy away from the big number.