Memphis vs. Cincinnati - 12/7/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Memphis vs. Cincinnati - 12/7/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Nelson Chenault-USA TODAY Sports

Cincinnati Bearcats (10-2) at Memphis Tigers (11-1)

College Football: Saturday, December 7, 2019 at 3:30 pm (Liberty Bowl Memorial)

The Line: Memphis Tigers -10 -- Over/Under: 58.5

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The Cincinnati Bearcats and Memphis Tigers meet Saturday in the college football AAC Championship at Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium.

The Cincinnati Bearcats have won nine of their last 10 games and hope to win their 15th conference title in school history. The Cincinnati Bearcats have won four of their last five road games. Desmond Ridder is completing 56.2 percent of his passes for 1,836 yards, 17 touchdowns and eight interceptions. Ridder has 15 touchdown passes in his last nine games. Alec Pierce and Josiah Deguara have combined for 881 receiving yards and nine touchdowns while Rashad Medaris has 20 receptions. The Cincinnati Bearcats ground game is averaging 197.2 yards per contest, and Michael Warren II leads the way with 939 yards and 11 touchdowns. Defensively, Cincinnati is allowing 19.9 points and 365.2 yards per game. Darrick Forrest leads the Cincinnati Bearcats with 84 tackles, Michael Pitts has 5.5 sacks and Ja'von Hicks has four interceptions.

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The Memphis Tigers have won each of their last six games and hope to win their sixth conference title in school history. The Memphis Tigers haven’t lost a home game since October 13 of last year. Brady White is completing 67.1 percent of his passes for 3,074 yards, 30 touchdowns and seven interceptions. White has two or more touchdown passes in his last 10 games. Damonte Coxie and Antonio Gibson have combined for 1,430 receiving yards and 15 touchdowns while Kenneth Gainwell has 38 receptions. The Memphis Tigers ground game is averaging 196.1 yards per contest, and Kenneth Gainwell leads the way with 1,294 yards and 12 touchdowns. Defensively, Memphis is allowing 24.5 points and 361.7 yards per game. Austin Hall leads the Memphis Tigers with 56 tackles, Bryce Huff has four sacks and Quindell Johnson has two interceptions.

The Bearcats are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games, 7-17 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in December. The Tigers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games, 11-4 ATS in their last 15 conference games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The Bearcats are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Memphis and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings. The over is 7-2 in Tigers last 9 games overall. The under is 4-0 in Bearcats last 4 games overall.

The Cincinnati Bearcats are 4-4 ATS in their last eight games as a double-digit underdog. The Memphis Tigers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a double-digit favorite. We had the Cincinnati Bearcats and the points last week, a game they could have won outright if it wasn't for the three turnovers. Every other stat says these teams were even and it was Cincinnati that also had the edge in time of possession. Again, I know how explosive the Memphis Tigers are at home, but Cincinnati is a good football team and has to be confident after what it was able to do last week. Also, you can probably expect an even tighter game given that these clubs just played last week in the sam venue and threw a lot of their game plan out already. Give me the points.

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Randy’s Pick Cincinnati Bearcats +10

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.