Cincinnati at Memphis - 12/7/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Nelson Chenault-USA TODAY Sports
Cincinnati Bearcats (10-2) at Memphis Tigers (11-1)
College Football: Saturday, December 7, 2019 at 3:30 pm (Liberty Bowl Memorial)
The Line: Memphis Tigers -9.5 -- Over/Under: 52.5
The Cincinnati Bearcats and the Memphis Tigers meet in the AAC Championship game college football action from Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium on Saturday.
Cincinnati comes in at 10-2 overall. In their last four games, the Bearcats have gone 3-1 with wins over Connecticut, USF, Temple and a loss to Memphis during that stretch.
In the loss to the Tigers, Cincinnati’s Ben Bryant tossed for 229 yards, a TD and a pick, and Alec Pierce caught four balls for 77 yards. Michael Warren logged 122 rush yards and a TD there as well.
Over on the Memphis side, they’re 11-1 overall. Since their lone loss to Temple, the Tigers have dispatched Tulane, Tulsa, SMU, Houston, South Florida and Cincinnati over their last six outings.
In the win over the Bearcats, Memphis QB Brady White posted 223 yards, two TDs and an INT. Kenneth Grant rushed for 87 yards, and Damonte Coxie had 145 yards and a score on six catches.
Cincinnati is 5-2 ATS in their last seven on turf and 3-7 ATS in the last 10 road games. The Bearcats are 7-17 ATS versus a team with a winning record and 0-5-1 ATS in their last six in December.
Meanwhile, the Tigers are 5-1 ATS in the last six after an ATS loss and 8-2 ATS in the last 10 home games. Memphis is 13-5 ATS in their last 18 as a favorite and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 overall.
Cincinnati fought pretty valiantly in that Tigers game, and went into halftime with a 2017 deficit. The Bearcats hung around until the fourth, where Memphis began to pull away in a 34-24 Cincinnati loss. It’s also worth noting that Cincinnati has scored 24 points or fewer in three straight games.
This is probably going to come out pretty close to the same scenarios as last time, given that these two teams just met. I just have to stick on Memphis here; they just seem like they’re playing much better football right now. I’m going Tigers.