Baylor vs. Oklahoma - 12/7/19 College Football Big 12 Championship Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports
Baylor Bears (11-1) at Oklahoma Sooners (11-1)
College Football: Saturday, December 7, 2019 at 12:00 pm (AT&T Stadium)
The Line: Oklahoma Sooners -9 -- Over/Under: 64
The Baylor Bears and Oklahoma Sooners meet Saturday in the college football Big 12 Championship at AT&T Stadium.
The Baylor Bears have a chance to win 12 games for the first time in school history. The Baylor Bears have won all five non-home games this season. Charlie Brewer is completing 65.5 percent of his passes for 2,935 yards, 20 touchdowns and six interceptions. Brewer has one or less touchdown passes in six of his last 10 games. Denzel Mims and Tyquan Thornton have combined for 1,627 receiving yards and 15 touchdowns while R.J. Sneed has 37 receptions. The Baylor Bears ground game is averaging 186.1 yards per contest, and John Lovett leads the way with 618 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Baylor is allowing 18.4 points and 352.8 yards per game. Terrel Bernard leads the Baylor Bears with 95 tackles, James Lynch has 10.5 sacks and Grayland Arnold has six interceptions.
The Oklahoma Sooners look to win their fifth straight game and remain in the playoff conversation. The Oklahoma Sooners have won five of their last six non-home games. Jaylen Hurts is completing 71.9 percent of his passes for 3,347 yards, 31 touchdowns and six interceptions. Hurts has two or more touchdown passes in 10 of his last 12 games. CeeDee Lamb and Charleston Rambo have combined for 1,746 receiving yards and 19 touchdowns while Lee Morris has 18 receptions. The Oklahoma Sooners ground game is averaging 260 yards per contest, and Hurts leads the way with 1,217 yards and 18 touchdowns. Defensively, Oklahoma is allowing 24.7 points and 336.1 yards per game. Kenneth Murray leads the Oklahoma Sooners with 85 tackles, Ronnie Perkins has six sacks and Brendan Radley-Hiles has two interceptions.
The Bears are an impressive 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games in December, 23-9 ATS in their last 32 games as an underdog and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Sooners are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in December, 4-10 ATS in their last 14 neutral site games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The under is 9-4 in Bears last 13 conference games. The over is 13-6 in Sooners last 19 conference games. The Bears are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings in Oklahoma. The home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
The Baylor Bears are 8-0 ATS in their last eight games as an underdog. The Oklahoma Sooners are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games as a favorite. If Baylor and Oklahoma have shown us anything this season, it's that both of their offenses can score at will and have endless playmakers. The meeting between these two clubs less than a month ago produced a combined 65 points and over 800 total yards. I would expect even better conditions playing indoors and on turf where speed usually dominates. Instead of fighting over who wins or if Baylor can keep it close, I'll expect fireworks and side with the over 64 points.