Oregon vs. Utah - 12/6/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Jeff Swinger-USA TODAY Sports
Utah Utes (11-1) at Oregon Ducks (10-2)
College Football: Friday, December 6, 2019 at 8:00 pm (Levi's Stadium)
The Line: Oregon Ducks +6.5 -- Over/Under: 50.5
The Oregon Ducks and the Utah Utes meet in the Pac-12 championship game in Friday college football action from Levi’s Stadium on Friday night.
The Oregon Ducks come into this game representing the North division after finishing with a 10-2 overall record, including an 8-1 mark in conference play with the lone loss coming in the shock 31-28 loss to Arizona State a couple of weeks ago. In the regular season, Justin Herbert threw for 3,140 yards, 31 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 67.5% passing while CJ Verdell led Oregon on the ground with 963 rushing yards and 5 touchdowns. Travis Dye had 642 rushing yards while Cyrus Habibi-Likio added 310 rushing yards and 10 touchdowns. Johnny Johnson III led the Ducks with 49 grabs for 731 yards and 6 touchdowns while Jaylon Redd had 430 receiving yards and a team-high 7 RDs and Jacob Breeland added 405 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, Troy Dye led the Ducks with 67 total tackles including a team-high 43 solo tackles while Jevon Holland and Verone McKinley III each had 4 interceptions and Kayvon Thibodeaux led Oregon with 6.5 sacks this season. As a team, Oregon is averaging 455.1 yards of total offense and 35.8 points per game while allowing 332.9 yards of total defense and 15.8 points per game against this season.
The Utah Utes come into the conference championship repping the Pac-12 South after finishing with an 11-1 overall record with their lone loss coming to USC in their opening conference matchup. In the regular season, Tyler Huntley threw for 2,773 yards, 16 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on 75.5% passing while Zack Moss led the Utes with 1,246 rushing yards and 15 touchdowns on the ground. Brant Kuithe led the Utes with 29 catches for 550 yards and 6 touchdowns while Bryan Thompson had 452 receiving yards and 3 TDs. Demari Simpkins, the aforementioned Moss and Jaylen Dixon each had 300+ receiving yards for Utah this season as well. Defensively, Devin Lloyd led the Utes with 76 total tackles as well as chipping in 5.6 sacks while Francis Bernard had 73 total tackles, Julian Blackmon led Utah with 4 interceptions and Bradlee Anae added a team-high 12.5 sacks this season. As a team, Utah is averaging 453.6 yards of total offense and 35.6 points per game while sitting 3rd in the nation in terms of total defense and scoring defense, allowing 241.8 yards of total offense and 11.2 points per game against this season.
Oregon is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games while the over is 4-1 in their last 5 games following a win. Utah is 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games overall and 23-9-1 ATS in their last 33 conference games while the under is 5-1 in their last 6 games against a team with a winning record. The over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams.
This should be one heck of a game with loads of talent on both sides of the ball for both teams. However, I’m not really liking how Oregon sputtered down the stretch. The loss to Arizona State shot their confidence and Oregon has been letting teams like Washington, Washington State and Oregon State hang around. Since their loss to USC, Utah has scored at least 33 points in 7 of the 8 games and allowed 15 points or less in 7 of 8 games as well with the one outlier being a 33-28 win over Washington just over a month ago. I just think that Utah is a better version of Oregon, and as such, I think the Utes make a case to the committee with a big win here so I’ll lay the points with Utah in this one.