WKU vs. Middle Tennessee - 11/30/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Nelson Chenault-USA TODAY Sports
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (4-7) at WKU Hilltoppers (7-4)
College Football: Saturday, November 30, 2019 at 2:00 pm (Houchens-Smith Stadium)
The Line: WKU Hilltoppers -9.5 -- Over/Under: 50.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders and the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers meet in a week 14 C-USA college football matchup from Houchens-Smith Stadium on Saturday afternoon.
The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders come into this game looking to build on 38-17 win over Old Dominion last time out. Asher O’Hara threw for 185 yards and a pair of touchdowns on 18 of 25 passing while Chase Cunningham threw for 59 yards and a touchdown with a pair of completions. O’Hara also led Middle Tennessee in rushing with 78 rushing yards while Tenille West had 34 rushing yards and a touchdown. Jarrin Pierce led the Blue Raiders with 71 receiving yards and a touchdown on 4 catches while Jimmy Marshall had a team-high 5 grabs for 69 yards and 2 touchdowns. Ty Lee also added 5 receptions for 39 yards as well in the win. Defensively, Kylan Stribling had a 38-yard pick-six while also sharing the team lead with Jovante Moffatt with 10 total tackles. As a team, Middle Tennessee is averaging 407.1 yards of total offense and 26.4 points per game while allowing 457.7 yards of total defense and 29.8 points per game against this season.
The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers will look to build on back-to-back wins to finish the year after a 28-10 win over Southern Miss last time out. Ty Storey threw for 225 yards and 2 touchdowns on 20 of 30 passing while Gaej Walker led the Hilltoppers with 84 rushing yards and Jacquez Sloan had a rushing touchdown. Jahcour Pearon added a team-high 7 catches for 88 yards with a touchdown while Joshua Simon had 51 receiving yards and Quin Jernighan added 4 catches for 50 yards and a TD of his own. Defensively, Devon Key and Kyle Bailey each had a team-high 11 total tackles while Trae Meadows and DeAngelo Malone each had a fumble recovery with Malone taking his fumble back for a touchdown. Antwon Kincade also had an interception for WKU. As a team, Western Kentucky is averaging 371.5 yards of total offense and 25.1 points per game while allowing 325.9 yards of total defense and 19.5 points per game against this season.
Middle Tennessee is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against a team with a winning record and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a win while the over is 4-1 in their last 5 games overall. Western Kentucky is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall and 8-1 ATS in their last 9 conference games while the over is 11-4 in their last 15 home games. The home team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
I’d like to give the Blue Raiders a chance here, but the fact is that Middle Tennessee hasn’t been good on the road, going 0-5 SU with 4 of those losses coming by at least two touchdowns, including a pair of double-digit road losses in conference play. Western Kentucky has been rock solid against the number for the last couple of months and the home team has had all of the recent success between these two teams, so I’ll lay the points with Western Kentucky on the road in this one.