Tennessee vs. Vanderbilt - 11/30/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports
Vanderbilt Commodores (3-8) at Tennessee Volunteers (6-5)
College Football: Saturday, November 30, 2019 at 4:00 pm (Neyland Stadium)
The Line: Tennessee Volunteers -22 -- Over/Under: 45.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Vanderbilt Commodores and the Tennessee Volunteers meet in a week 14 SEC conference college football matchup from Neyland Stadium on Saturday afternoon.
The Vanderbilt Commodores will look to finish their season on a high note after picking up a 38-0 win over East Tennessee State in their last outing. Riley Neal threw for 179 yards and 2 touchdowns on 16 of 24 passing while Ke’Shawn Vaughn led Vanderbilt with 139 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns and Mitchell Pryor had 34 rushing yards and a TD as well. Jared Pinkney led Vandy with 76 receiving yards and a pair of touchdowns on 5 catches while Kalija Lipscomb had a team-high 6 grabs for 75 yards. Defensively, Dayo Odeyingbo led the Commodores with 7 total tackles with 1.5 sacks as Vandy combined for 6 sacks as a team in the win. As a team, Vanderbit is averaging 300.5 yards of total offense and 17.1 points per game while allowing 438.8 yards of total defense and 32.1 points per game against this season.
The Tennessee Volunteers will look to keep their momentum going, currently riding a four game winning streak and back-to-back road wins after a 24-20 win over Missouri last time out. Jarrett Guarantano threw for 415 yards and 2 touchdowns on 23 of 40 passing while Tim Jordan rushed for a team-high 74 rushing yards and Quavaris Crouch had a rushing TD for the Vols. Josh Palmer led Tennessee with 6 catches for 124 yards while Jauan Jennings had 5 grabs for 115 yards and a TD and Marquez Callaway had 6 catches for 110 yards and a TD of his own. Defensively, Daniel Bituli led the Vols with 12 total tackles, including a team-high 10 solo tackles in the winning effort for Tennessee. As a team, Tennessee is averaging 360.3 yards of total offense and 23.5 points per game while allowing 342.4 yards of total defense and 22.7 points per game against this season.
Vanderbilt is 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games overall and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 conference games while the under is 7-1 in their last 8 games following a win. Tennessee is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games while the under is 5-0 in their last 5 games following a win. Vanderbilt is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings between these two teams.
This is a ton of points to be giving up in a rivalry game when trends can usually be thrown out the window and teams just have a desire to stick it to their rival. However, Vanderbilt has not been good on the road this season, going 0-4 both SU and ATS, and each of those losses were by at least 17 points. Those kinds of numbers won’t fly at a Neyland Stadium that’s going to be rocking for this rivalry game and backing a Vols team that’s really picked up their play over the last month, going from a laughing stock to being bowl eligible. Tennessee’s level of play is just miles ahead of where Vanderbilt is or even wants to be right now, so I’ll lay the points in what I expect to be a beatdown going Tennessee’s way here.