SMU vs. Tulane - 11/30/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

SMU vs. Tulane - 11/30/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Timothy Flores-USA TODAY Sports

Tulane Green Wave (6-5) at SMU Mustangs (9-2)

College Football: Saturday, November 30, 2019 at 4:00 pm (Gerald J. Ford Stadium)

The Line: SMU Mustangs -5 -- Over/Under:

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The Tulane Green Wave and SMU Mustangs meet Saturday in week 14 college football action at Gerald J. Ford Stadium.

The Tulane Green Wave could use a bounce back victory after losing four of their last five games. The Tulane Green Wave have lost their last three road games. Justin McMillan is completing 56.1 percent of his passes for 1,987 yards, 14 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. McMillan has two or more touchdown passes in five of his last 13 games. Darnell Mooney and Jalen McCleskey have combined for 1,062 receiving yards and eight touchdowns while Amare Jones has 27 receptions. The Tulane Green Wave ground game is averaging 252.2 yards per contest, and Justin McMillan leads the way with 654 yards and 12 touchdowns. Defensively, Tulane is allowing 26.5 points and 378.6 yards per game. Chase Kuerschen leads the Tulane Green Wave with 61 tackles, Patrick Johnson has three sacks and Larry Brooks has two interceptions. 

The SMU Mustangs look to win double-digit games for the sixth time in school history. The SMU Mustangs have won eight of their last 10 home games. Shane Buechele is completing 63.7 percent of his passes for 3,446 yards, 30 touchdowns and eight interceptions. Buechele has two or more touchdown passes in each of his last 10 games. James Proche and Reggie Roberson Jr. have combined for 1,871 receiving yards and 19 touchdowns while Kylen Granson has 34 receptions. The SMU Mustangs ground game is averaging 184.9 yards per contest, and Xavier Jones leads the way with 1,124 yards and 19 touchdowns. Defensively, SMU is allowing 32.4 points and 436.3 yards per game. Richard McBryde leads the SMU Mustangs with 79 tackles, Patrick Nelson has 10 sacks and Rodney Clemons has four interceptions. 

The Green Wave are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games, 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games on fieldturf and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall. The Mustangs are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games in November, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 conference games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Green Wave are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Southern Methodist and the road team is 11-2 ATS in their last 13 meetings. The over is 9-2 in Mustangs last 11 games overall. The under is 11-4 in Green Wave last 15 games in November.

The Tulane Green Wave are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as a road underdog. The SMU Mustangs are 4-4 ATS in their last eight games as a home favorite. The Tulane Green Wave aren't the same team on the road as they are at home, and it seems like they're falling apart overall with losses in four of their last five and a defense that can't get off the field. The SMU Mustangs will be eager for a bounce back showing after blowing a lead against Navy, and there's 25 seniors on this roster they're playing for as well. This line seems too soft. 

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Randy’s Pick SMU Mustangs -5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.