Purdue vs. Indiana - 11/30/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Purdue vs. Indiana - 11/30/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Marc Lebryk-USA TODAY Sports

Indiana Hoosiers (7-4) at Purdue Boilermakers (4-7)

College Football: Saturday, November 30, 2019 at 12:00 pm (Ross-Ade Stadium)

The Line: Purdue Boilermakers +6.5 -- Over/Under:

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The Indiana Hoosiers and Purdue Boilermakers meet Saturday in week 14 college football action at Ross-Ade Stadium.

The Indiana Hoosiers have a chance to win at least eight games for the first time since 1993. The Indiana Hoosiers have split their last four road games. Michael Penix Jr. is completing 70.9 percent of his passes for 1,890 yards, 10 touchdowns and four interceptions. Penix and Peyton Ramsey have combined for 20 touchdown passes and eight interceptions. Whop Philyor and Ty Fryfogle have combined for 1,404 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Peyton Hendershot has 42 receptions. The Indiana Hoosiers ground game is averaging 130.3 yards per contest, and Stevie Scott III leads the way with 845 yards and 10 touchdowns. Defensively, Indiana is allowing 23 points and 328.7 yards per game. Micah McFadden leads the Indiana Hoosiers with 52 tackles, Allen Stallings IV has five sacks and Jaylin Williams has one interception.

The Purdue Boilermakers look to finish the season on a high note after splitting their last six games. The Purdue Boilermakers have split their last six home games. Elijah Sindelar is completing 64.3 percent of his passes for 978 yards, nine touchdowns and three interceptions. Sindelar and Jack Plummer have combined for 20 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. David Bell and Brycen Hopkins have combined for 1,587 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns while Rondale Moore has 29 receptions. The Purdue Boilermakers ground game is averaging 74.3 yards per contest, and King Doerue leads the way with 429 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Purdue is allowing 29.4 points and 428.5 yards per game. Ben Holt leads the Purdue Boilermakers with 104 tackles, George Karlaftis has six sacks and Cory Trice has three interceptions.

The Hoosiers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Boilermakers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 conference games, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in November and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Hoosiers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 meetings in Purdue and the favorite is 5-1-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings. The over is 43-20-1 in Boilermakers last 64 home games. The over is 4-1 in Hoosiers last 5 games overall.

The Indiana Hoosiers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as a road favorite. The Purdue Boilermakers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a home underdog. All of Indiana's losses have come against ranked teams, so while they're a bit cold with back-to-back losses, this is still a team that beats the teams its supposed to beat and has covered six of its last eight tries. The Purdue Boilermakers are banged up and with no chance of a bowl game, they're really only playing for the 13 seniors on the roster. While Indiana seems like the logical pick, it's Purdue that seems to have a knack of winning the games you least expect and its been a good underdog home team lately. Give me the touchdown.

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Randy’s Pick Purdue Boilermakers +6.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.