Penn State vs. Rutgers - 11/30/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Penn State vs. Rutgers - 11/30/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports

Rutgers Scarlet Knights (2-9) at Penn State Nittany Lions (9-2)

College Football: Saturday, November 30, 2019 at 3:30 pm (Beaver Stadium)

The Line: Penn State Nittany Lions -38.5 -- Over/Under:

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The Rutgers Scarlet Knights and Penn State Nittany Lions meet Saturday in week 14 college football action at Beaver Stadium.

The Rutgers Scarlet Knights could use a win after losing nine of their last 10 games. The Rutgers Scarlet Knights haven’t won a road game since October of 2017. McLane Carter is completing 57.4 percent of his passes for 368 yards, two touchdowns and four interceptions. Carter and Artur Sitkowski have combined for three touchdown passes and six interceptions this season. Bo Melton and Raheem Blackshear have combined for 685 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Isaiah Washington has 14 receptions. The Rutgers Scarlet Knights ground game is averaging 129.1 yards per contest, and Isaih Pacheco leads the way with 627 yards and seven touchdowns. Defensively, Rutgers is allowing 37.5 points and 442.7 yards per game. Tyshon Fogg leads the Rutgers Scarlet Knights with 96 tackles, Elorm Lumor has three sacks and Damon Hayes has two interceptions.

The Penn State Nittany Lions look for a win to produce double-digit victories for the third time in the last four years. The Penn State Nittany Lions have won nine straight home games. Sean Clifford is completing 59.5 percent of his passes for 2,521 yards, 22 touchdowns and six interceptions. Clifford has 16 touchdown passes in his last nine games. KJ Hamler and Pat Freiermuth have combined for 1,300 receiving yards and 15 touchdowns while Jahan Dotson has 23 receptions. The Penn State Nittany Lions ground game is averaging 166.3 yards per contest, and Journey Brown leads the way with 585 yards and seven touchdowns. Defensively, Penn State is allowing 14.8 points and 325.4 yards per game. Micah Parsons leads the Penn State Nittany Lions with 85 tackles, Yetur Gross-Matos has 8.5 sacks and John Reid has two interceptions.

The Scarlet Knights are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 conference games, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The Nittany Lions are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. The over is 5-2 in Nittany Lions last 7 home games. The under is 6-1 in Scarlet Knights last 7 road games.

The Rutgers Scarlet Knights are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games as a double-digit underdog. The Penn State Nittany Lions ar 3-6 ATS in their last nine games as a double-digit favorite. This is obviously a ton of points to lay, but Rutgers seems to be massive underdogs every week and doesn't cover. With covers in just two of their last 10 games and failed covers in seven of their last eight games as a double-digit underdogs, it's very tough to make a case for the Rutgers Scarlet Knights given the trends. The Penn State Nittany Lions will likely want to take out some frustration with losses in two of their last three, and Rutgers is the perfect opponent to do it against. Still, there's better options on Saturday's card.

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Randy’s Pick Penn State Nittany Lions -38.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.