Michigan vs. Ohio State - 11/30/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Rich Barnes-USA TODAY Sports
Ohio State Buckeyes (11-0) at Michigan Wolverines (9-2)
College Football: Saturday, November 30, 2019 at 12:00 pm (Michigan Stadium)
The Line: Michigan Wolverines +8.5 -- Over/Under:
The Ohio State Buckeyes and Michigan Wolverines meet Saturday in week 14 college football action at Michigan Stadium as they close out the CFB regular season.
The Ohio State Buckeyes look to complete a 12-0 regular season to remain in the CFB playoff conversation. The Ohio State Buckeyes have won their last six road games. Justin Fields is completing 69.4 percent of his passes for 2,352 yards, 33 touchdowns and one interception. Fields has three or more touchdown passes in seven of the first 11 games. Chris Olave and Binjimen Victor have combined for 1,117 receiving yards and 16 touchdowns while KJ Hill has 42 receptions. The Ohio State Buckeyes ground game is averaging 282 yards per contest, and J.K. Dobbins leads the way with 1,446 yards and 15 touchdowns. Defensively, Ohio State is allowing 10.5 points and 217.4 yards per game. Malik Harrison leads the Ohio State Buckeyes with 61 tackles, Chase Young has 16.5 sacks and Jeff Okudah has three interceptions.
The Michigan Wolverines look for a statement win to produce double-digit wins for the fourth time in the last five years. The Michigan Wolverines have won their last 13 home games. Shea Patterson is completing 59.5 percent of his passes for 2,523 yards, 21 touchdowns and five interceptions. Patterson has two or more touchdown passes in 11 of his last 19 games. Nico Collins and Ronnie Bell have combined for 1,276 receiving yards and eight touchdowns while Donovan Peoples-Jones has 30 receptions. The Michigan Wolverines ground game is averaging 155 yards per contest, and Zach Charbonnet leads the way with 635 yards and 11 touchdowns. Defensively, Michigan is allowing 16.2 points and 267 yards per game. Khaleke Hudson leads the Michigan Wolverines with 88 tackles, Josh Uche has 8.5 sacks and Ambry Thomas has three interceptions.
The Buckeyes are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 conference games, 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games in November and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The Wolverines are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Buckeyes are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Michigan and the underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings. The over is 40-17-1 in Wolverines last 58 games overall. The over is 4-1 in Buckeyes last 5 road games.
The Ohio State Buckeyes are 4-2 ATS in their last six games as a road favorite. The Michigan Wolverines are 3-1 ATS in their last four games as a home underdog. I would have had OSU mopping the floor with Michigan just a few weeks ago, as the Buckeyes have been the most consistent and dominant team in the country all year, and the Wolverines continue to come up small in big games. However, the Michigan Wolverines have been a completely different team since their road loss to Penn State, as the defense has allowed no more than 14 points in their last four games and the offense is finally, finally finishing drives. The Ohio State Buckeyes are the better team, but it feels like Michigan is peaking at the right time to make a game of this. I'll take the points.