Michigan State vs. Maryland - 11/30/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports
Maryland Terrapins (3-8) at Michigan State Spartans (5-6)
College Football: Saturday, November 30, 2019 at 3:30 pm (Spartan Stadium)
The Line: Michigan State Spartans -21 -- Over/Under:
The Maryland Terrapins and Michigan State Spartans meet Saturday in week 14 college football action at Spartan Stadium.
The Maryland Terrapins could use a feel good victory to snap a six-game losing streak. The Maryland Terrapins have lost four of their last five road games. Josh Jackson is completing 48.3 percent of his passes for 1,130 yards, 11 touchdowns and five interceptions. Jackson has 16 touchdown passes dating back to last season. Dontay Demus Jr. and Chigoziem Okonkwo have combined for 730 receiving yards and seven touchdowns while Brian Cobbs has 14 receptions. The Maryland Terrapins ground game is averaging 169.9 yards per contest, and Javon Leake leads the way with 716 yards and eight touchdowns. Defensively, Maryland is allowing 36.1 points and 450.9 yards per game. Ayinde Eley leads the Maryland Terrapins with 79 tackles, Keandre Jones has seven sacks and Nick Cross has two interceptions.
The Michigan State Spartans need a victory here in order to become bowl eligible. The Michigan State Spartans have lost three of their last four home games. Brian Lewerke is completing 57 percent of his passes for 2,417 yards, 16 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. Lewerke has one or less touchdown passes in 11 of his last 15 games. Cody White and Darrell Stewart Jr. have combined for 1,435 receiving yards and nine touchdowns while Matt Seybert has 22 receptions. The Michigan State Spartans ground game is averaging 126.1 yards per contest, and Elijah Collins leads the way with 851 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Michigan State is allowing 23.3 points and 319.5 yards per game. Antjuan Simmons leads the Michigan State Spartans with 75 tackles, Kenny Willekes has 7.5 sacks and Josiah Scott has two interceptions.
The Terrapins are 5-17 ATS in their last 22 road games, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 conference games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Spartans are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 conference games, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. The under is 14-5 in Spartans last 19 games overall. The under is 5-2 in Terrapins last 7 games on grass.
The Maryland Terrapins are 0-4 ATS in their last four games as a double-digit underdog. The Michigan State Spartans are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a double-digit favorite. Michigan State isn't the team I'm looking to lay big chalk with, as they don't cover big numbers and don't have the offense to pull away. However, the Maryland Terrapins have been getting beat up left and right these last two months and they've scored no more than 14 points in their last four games. You can't back the Terps no matter what the number is. It's MSU in a blowout or pass.