In the win over the Jags, Georgia State QB Dan Ellington had 208 yards with two TDs and one INT. Tra Barnett managed 128 rush yards and a score there, and Roger Carter posted 87 yards with a TD on seven grabs. 

Over on the Georgia Southern side, they’re 6-5 this year. The Eagles are just 1-2 in their last three games, taking out LA-Monroe but falling to Troy 49-28 and Arkansas State 38-33. 

In the loss to the Red Wolves, GA Southern QB Shai Werts put up 175 yards and three picks, while also leading the rush on 158 yards and a TD. Mark Michaud caught six balls for 96 yards and two TDs there as well. 

The Panthers are 3-1-2 ATS in their last six after an ATS win and 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight overall. Georgia State is 5-12-2 ATS in their last 19 conference games and 2-9-2 ATS in their last 13 road games. 

Meanwhile, the Eagles are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games and 2-5 ATS in their last seven conference games. Georgia Southern is 2-5 ATS versus a team with a winning record and the over is 5-0 in their last five conference games. 

Georgia State probably could have done a little more against LA-Monroe in that 45-31 loss, but we’ll give them credit for having to go up against a tough Appalachian State team in the next game (loss). The Panthers bounced back against South Alabama pretty well, so no worries here really. 

That said, Georgia Southern can be a really pesky team—case in point their 24-21 win over the aforementioned Mountaineers. The Eagles are kind of hard to figure out though, as they were drilled by Troy and lost to an Arkansas State team they probably shouldn’t have. 

I’m probably not going anywhere near this game, but I’m going to stick with the potential of the Eagles and take Georgia Southern on the cover.