Duke vs. Miami-FL - 11/30/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports
Miami-FL Hurricanes (6-5) at Duke Blue Devils (4-7)
College Football: Saturday, November 30, 2019 at 3:30 pm (Brooks Field at Wallace Wade Stadium)
The Line: Duke Blue Devils +6.5 -- Over/Under: 47.5
The Miami Hurricanes and the Duke Blue Devils meet in college football action from Wallace Wade Stadium on Saturday.
Miami comes into this one at 6-5 overall. The Hurricanes had a three-game win streak going against Pitt, Florida State and Louisville but lost their last outing to FIU 30-24.
In the loss to the Panthers, Miami’s Jarren Williams passed for 249 yards, two TDs and three picks. Cam’Ron Harris added 86 yards and a TD rushing, while Will Mallory led the receivers with 71 yards off four grabs.
Over on the Duke side, they’re 4-7 this year. The Blue Devils are sitting on a five-game losing streak, falling to Virginia, North Carolina, Notre Dame, Syracuse and Wake Forest during that stretch.
In the loss to the Deacons, Duke QB Quentin Harris posted 163 yards with one TD and one INT, and Mataeo Durant managed 71 rush yards. Noah Gray led the receivers there with seven grabs for 76 yards and a TD.
The Hurricanes are 4-1 ATS in their last five after an ATS loss and 4-1 ATS in the last five after a straight-up loss. Miami is 4-1 ATS in their last five in November and 4-1 ATS in their last five on grass.
Meanwhile, the Devils are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games and 0-4 ATS in their last four conference games. Duke is 0-4 ATS versus a team with a winning record and 0-4 ATS in their last four in November.
Miami was on a nice run heading into that FIU game, and it’s indicative of the odd lapses the Hurricanes have had this season. Another case in point would be the OT loss to Georgia Tech; outliers that don’t really represent what Miami can do when they’re firing on all proverbial cylinders.
Duke gets a little credit for breaking out of that offensive lapse against Wake with 27 points, but they’re still not in a good place as a football team. I don’t really see any reason to side with the Blue Devils on the cover here, so I’m pretty firm on the Hurricanes to take it.