UNLV vs. San Jose State - 11/23/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

UNLV vs. San Jose State - 11/23/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Christopher Hanewinckel-USA TODAY Sports

San Jose State Spartans (4-6) at UNLV Rebels (2-8)

College Football: Saturday, November 23, 2019 at 4:00 pm (Sam Boyd Stadium)

The Line: UNLV Rebels +4.5 -- Over/Under:

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The San Jose State Spartans and UNLV Rebels meet Saturday in week 13 college football action at Sam Boyd Stadium.

The San Jose State Spartans need a win after losing four of their last five games. The San Jose State Spartans have lost three of their last four road games. Josh Love is completing 59.6 percent of his passes for 3,168 yards, 19 touchdowns and four interceptions. Love has two or more touchdown passes in six straight games. Tre Walker and Bailey Gaither have combined for 1,571 receiving yards and seven touchdowns while Isaiah Hamilton has 25 receptions. The San Jose State Spartans ground game is averaging 86.2 yards per contest, and DeJon Packer leads the way with 396 yards and nine touchdowns. Defensively, San Jose State is allowing 32.9 points and 451.8 yards per game. Ethan Aguayo leads the San Jose State Spartans with 85 tackles, Jesse Osuna has three sacks and Brandon Ezell has four interceptions. 

The UNLV Rebels need a win to snap a four-game losing streak. The UNLV Rebels have lost their last four home games. Armani Rogers is completing 51.9 percent of his passes for 393 yards, two touchdowns and three interceptions. Rogers and Kenyon Oblad have combined for 15 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. Randal Grimes and Noah Bean have combined for 887 receiving yards and eight touchdowns while Giovanni Fauolo Sr. has 19 receptions. The UNLV Rebels ground game is averaging 158.3 yards per contest, and Charles Williams leads the way with 933 yards and seven touchdowns. Defensively, UNLV is allowing 33.1 points and 428.5 yards per game. Rayshad Jackson leads the UNLV Rebels with 79 tackles, Bryce Jackson has two sacks and Jericho Flowers has three interceptions.

The Spartans are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 road games, 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 conference games and 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Rebels are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in November and 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games. The Spartans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings and the favorite is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings. The under is 5-1 in Rebels last 6 games overall. The over is 4-1 in Spartans last 5 games overall.

The San Jose State Spartans are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as a road favorite. The UNLV Rebels are 3-5 ATS in their last eight games as a home underdog. The San Jose State Spartans have allowed 94 points in their last two games and have lost three of their last four on the road. The UNLV Rebels have scored 17 or less points in seven of their last nine games and haven't won a home game since their season opener against Southern Utah. I do value senior day and there's 18 seniors on this UNLV roster, but I can't get behind the Rebels considering they're the same team every week. It's the San Jose State Spartans or pass.

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Randy’s Pick San Jose State Spartans -4.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.