Ohio State vs. Penn State - 11/23/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Noah K. Murray-USA TODAY Sports
Penn State Nittany Lions (9-1) at Ohio State Buckeyes (10-0)
College Football: Saturday, November 23, 2019 at 12:00 pm (Ohio Stadium)
The Line: Ohio State Buckeyes -18 -- Over/Under:
The Penn State Nittany Lions and Ohio State Buckeyes meet Saturday in week 13 college football action at Ohio Stadium.
The Penn State Nittany Lions look for their 10th win of the season to keep their slim playoff hopes alive. The Penn State Nittany Lions have won three of their last four road games. Sean Clifford is completing 59.6 percent of his passes for 2,450 yards, 22 touchdowns and six interceptions. Clifford has 16 touchdown passes in his last eight games. KJ Hamler and Pat Freiermuth have combined for 1,215 receiving yards and 15 touchdowns while Jahan Dotson has 22 receptions. The Penn State Nittany Lions ground game is averaging 173.1 yards per contest, and Journey Brown leads the way with 521 yards and six touchdowns. Defensively, Penn State is allowing 13.5 points and 316.2 yards per game. Micah Parsons leads the Penn State Nittany Lions with 75 tackles, Yetur Gross-Matos has 6.5 sacks and John Reid has two interceptions.
The Ohio State Buckeyes look to improve to 11-0 and remain the favorites to win the national title. The Ohio State Buckeyes haven’t lost a home game since September of 2017. Justin Fields is completing 69.1 percent of his passes for 2,164 yards, 31 touchdowns and one interception. Fields has three or more touchdown passes in seven of the first 10 games. Chris Olave and Binjimen Victor have combined for 1,052 receiving yards and 15 touchdowns while KJ Hill has 38 receptions. The Ohio State Buckeyes ground game is averaging 287.4 yards per contest, and J.K. Dobbins leads the way with 1,289 yards and 13 touchdowns. Defensively, Ohio State is allowing 9.8 points and 216.4 yards per game. Malik Harrison leads the Ohio State Buckeyes with 52 tackles, Chase Young has 13.5 sacks and Jeff Okudah has three interceptions.
The Nittany Lions are 19-9-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in November and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf. The Buckeyes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games, 8-1 ATS in their last 9 conference games and 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall. The Nittany Lions are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 meetings in Ohio State and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The over is 7-3 in Buckeyes last 10 conference games. The under is 4-1 in Nittany Lions last 5 road games.
The Penn State Nittany Lions are 3-5 ATS in their last eight games as a double-digit underdog. The Ohio State Buckeyes are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as a double-digit favorite. The Penn State Nittany Lions has looked a little shaky over the last month, as they not only lost to Minnesota, but they've now had close calls against Michigan and Indiana. The Ohio State Buckeyes finally didn't cover a game as a double-digit underdog last week against Rutgers, but it was a hell of a run and this team is still one of the more profitable out there. With all that said, I'm siding with Ohio State in a comfortable win, as the Buckeyes have been the most consistent team in the country and have the athletes on both sides of the ball to expose Penn State. The Penn State Nittany Lions aren't as good as the media props them up to be and they can be a bit slow at the skill positions, which is why OSU is able to score at will.