Navy vs. SMU - 11/23/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Navy vs. SMU - 11/23/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Matt Cashore-USA TODAY Sports

SMU Mustangs (9-1) at Navy Midshipmen (7-2)

College Football: Saturday, November 23, 2019 at 3:30 pm (Jack Stephens Field at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium)

The Line: Navy Midshipmen -3 -- Over/Under:

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The SMU Mustangs and Navy Midshipmen meet Saturday in week 13 college football action at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium. 

The SMU Mustangs have a chance to win double-digit games for the first time since 1984. The SMU Mustangs have won four of their last five road games. Shane Buechele is completing 64.2 percent of his passes for 3,195 yards, 28 touchdowns and eight interceptions. Buechele has two or more touchdown passes in each of his last nine games. James Proche and Reggie Roberson Jr. have combined for 1,811 receiving yards and 18 touchdowns while Kylen Granson has 33 receptions. The SMU Mustangs ground game is averaging 194.1 yards per contest, and Xavier Jones leads the way with 1,063 yards and 18 touchdowns. Defensively, SMU is allowing 32.1 points and 425.9 yards per game. Richard McBryde leads the SMU Mustangs with 72 tackles, Patrick Nelson has 9.5 sacks and Rodney Clemons has four interceptions.  

The Navy Midshipmen look for another win after winning five of their last six games. The Navy Midshipmen have won their last six home games. Malcolm Perry is completing 53.3 percent of his passes for 758 yards, five touchdowns and three interceptions. The Navy Midshipmen have 12 touchdown passes dating back to last season. Mychal Cooper and CJ Williams have combined for 491 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Ryan Mitchell has four receptions. The Navy Midshipmen ground game is averaging 349.3 yards per contest, and Perry leads the way with 1,159 yards and 16 touchdowns. Defensively, Navy is allowing 21.9 points and 321.7 yards per game. Diego Fagot leads the Navy Midshipmen with 69 tackles, Jacob Springer has seven sacks and Chelen Garnes has two interceptions.

The Mustangs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games, 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Midshipmen are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games, 7-2 ATS in their last 9 conference games and 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games overall. The Mustangs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Navy and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings. The over is 6-1 in Midshipmen last 7 games overall. The over is 9-1 in Mustangs last 10 games overall.

The SMU Mustangs are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a road underdog. The Navy Midshipmen are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite. The SMU Mustangs have had an extra week to prepare for this contest and the offense has topped 40 points in nine of their last 10 games. The Navy Midshipmen were beat up last week against Notre Dame, but they've been a machine at home this season both SU and ATS, and this is the last home game for a roster that has 32 seniors. The last two games between these teams have been decided by a combined four points, but it's hard to bet against Navy at home. 

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Randy’s Pick Navy Midshipmen -3

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.