Fresno State vs. Nevada - 11/23/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Cary Edmondson-USA TODAY Sports
Nevada Wolf Pack (6-4) at Fresno State Bulldogs (4-6)
College Football: Saturday, November 23, 2019 at 10:30 pm (Bulldog Stadium)
The Line: Fresno State Bulldogs -13 -- Over/Under: 53
The Nevada Wolf Pack and Fresno State Bulldogs meet Saturday in week 13 college football action at Bulldog Stadium.
The Nevada Wolf Pack look for a win after splitting their last six games. The Nevada Wolf Pack have lost three of their last five road games. Carson Strong is completing 63.8 percent of his passes for 1,428 yards, six touchdowns and seven interceptions. Strong and Malik Henry have combined for seven touchdown passes and 11 interceptions. Romeo Doubs and Elijah Cooks have combined for 1,134 receiving yards and eight touchdowns while Kaleb Fossum has 28 receptions. The Nevada Wolf Pack ground game is averaging 111.2 yards per contest, and Toa Taua leads the way with 581 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Nevada is allowing 32.4 points and 402.9 yards per game. Tyson Williams leads the Nevada Wolf Pack with 62 tackles, Dom Peterson has six sacks and Daniel Brown has four interceptions.
The Fresno State Bulldogs look for a win after splitting their last eight games. The Fresno State Bulldogs have split their last four home games. Jorge Reyna is completing 63.4 percent of his passes for 2,242 yards, 11 touchdowns and nine interceptions. Reyna has one or less touchdown passes in each of his last five games. Zane Pope and Derrion Grim have combined for 742 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Keric Wheatfall has 11 receptions. The Fresno State Bulldogs ground game is averaging 167 yards per contest, and Ronnie Rivers leads the way with 702 yards and 12 touchdowns. Defensively, Fresno State is allowing 30.9 points and 422.7 yards per game. Justin Rice leads the Fresno State Bulldogs with 96 tackles, Kevin Atkins has four sacks and Wylan Free has two interceptions.
The Wolf Pack are 7-3 ATS vs. a team with a losing record, 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 conference games and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games. The Bulldogs are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 home games, 18-7-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall. The Wolf Pack are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the road team is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings. The over is 5-1 in Bulldogs last 6 games overall. The under is 4-0 in Wolf Pack last 4 games overall.
The Nevada Wolf Pack are 3-3 ATS in their last six games as a double-digit underdog. The Fresno State Bulldogs are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as a double-digit favorite. The Nevada Wolf Pack have had an up and down season, but they're still going to a bowl game with at least six wins and just beat a solid San Diego State team on the road two weeks ago. The Fresno State Bulldogs have lost three of their last four games and it seems like their offense and defense have had a hard time getting on the same page all season. When both teams play at their best, Fresno State is probably the better team, but this line seems a bit off when you factor in the inconsistent play on both sides. Give me the points.