Baylor vs. Texas - 11/23/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Baylor vs. Texas - 11/23/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

Texas Longhorns (6-4) at Baylor Bears (9-1)

College Football: Saturday, November 23, 2019 at 3:30 pm (McLane Stadium)

The Line: Baylor Bears -4 -- Over/Under: 59.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Texas Longhorns and the Baylor Bears meet in a week 13 Big 12 conference college football matchup from McLane Stadium on Saturday.

The Texas Longhorns will look to bounce back after a 23-21 loss to Iowa State to fall to 6-4 on the year. Sam Ehlinger threw for 273 yards and 3 touchdowns on 22 of 40 passing while also leading the Longhorns on the ground with 27 rushing yards. Devin Duvernay led the Longhorns with 9 grabs for 107 yards while Brennan Eagles and Keaontay Ingram each had 4 receptions and a touchdown. Defensively, D’Shawn Jamison, Brandon Jones and Joseph Ossai each had 9 total tackles with Jamison adding an interception as well. As a team, Texas is averaging 462.5 yards of total offense and 36.1 points per game while allowing 449.4 yards of total defense and 29.9 points per game against this season.

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The Baylor Bears will look to rebound as well after a heartbreaking 34-31 loss to Oklahoma in their last outing, suffering their first loss of the season to drop to 9-1. Charlie Brewer threw for 194 yards, 2 touchdowns and an interception on 18 of 29 passing while also leading the Bears with 65 rushing yards and 2 rushing TDs. JaMycal Hasty also had 42 rushing yards while Denzel Mims led Baylor’s receiving group with 6 catches for 92 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Terrel Bernard led the Bears with 15 total tackles while Chris Miller had 13 total tackles including 11 solo tackles. Blake Lynch had 1.5 sacks and 2 tackles for a loss while Grayland Arnold logged an interception for Baylor in the loss. As a team, Baylor is averaging 459.6 yards of total offense and 35.3 points per game while allowing 337.4 yards of total defense and 19 points per game against this season.

Texas is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a game where they covered the spread while the under is 39-16 in their last 55 games against a team with a winning record. Baylor is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 conference games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall while the under is an impressive 8-3 in their last 11 conference games. Texas is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings between these two teams at Baylor.

I think it will be interesting to see how Baylor responds after such a heartbreaking loss to Oklahoma, in a game that the Bears had almost locked up in the 3rd quarter, but Baylor just let it slip away. I like what Texas brings to the table with the likes of Ehlinger, Ingram and Duvernay, but I just think that Baylor is going to be a bit ticked off at how things went down against the Sooners and Baylor still has a lot to play for as they’re fighting for a spot in the Big 12 title game. I wouldn’t be surprised if this game went down to the wire and came down to a field goal, but I’ll lay the points with Baylor as I see the Bears winning a 31-24 or 34-27 type of game.

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