Arkansas State vs. Georgia Southern - 11/23/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Arkansas State vs. Georgia Southern - 11/23/19 College Football Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Derick E. Hingle-USA TODAY Sports

Georgia Southern Eagles (6-4) at Arkansas State Red Wolves (6-4)

College Football: Saturday, November 23, 2019 at 3:00 pm (Centennial Bank Stadium)

The Line: Arkansas State Red Wolves +1 -- Over/Under: 57.5

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The Georgia Southern Eagles and the Arkansas State Red Wolves meet in a week 13 Sun Belt conference college football matchup from Centennial Bank Stadium on Saturday afternoon.

The Georgia Southern Eagles will look to build on their 5th win in 6 games after a 51-29 win over Louisiana-Monroe in their last outing. Shai Werts has thrown for 456 yards and 6 touchdowns on 48.6% passing while J.D. King leads the Eagles in rushing with 669 yards and 5 touchdowns. Wesley Kennedy III has 608 rushing yards and 9 touchdowns while the aforementioned Werts has 461 rushing yards and 3 scores. Malik Murray leads Georgia Southern in receiving with 12 grabs for 154 yards and 2 scores while Darion Anderson also had 104 yards and a pair of touchdowns. Defensively, Rashad Byrd leads the Eagles with 73 total tackles with a pair of interceptions while Dillon Springer has a team-high 3 sacks. As a team, Georgia Southern is averaging 317 yards of total offense and 27.9 points per game while allowing 379.2 yards of total defense and 29.5 points per game against this season.

The Arkansas State Red Wolves come into this game looking to build on their 6-4 mark after a 3rd straight victory with a 28-27 win over Coastal Carolina last time out. Layne Hatcher has thrown for 1,857 yards, 17 touchdowns and 9 interceptions on 68.5% passing while Marcel Murray leads the Red Wolves on the ground with 706 rushing yards and 6 scores. Omar Bayless leads A-State’s receiving group with 73 grabs for 1,262 yards and 14 touchdowns while Kirk Merritt has 53 receptions for 601 yards and 10 TDs and Jonathan Adams Jr. has 47 catches for 561 yards this season. Defensively, Darreon Jackson leads the Red Wolves with 91 total tackles including a team-high 53 solo tackles while William Bradley-King leads the Red Wolves with 7 sacks this season. As a team, Arkansas State is averaging 430.4 yards of total offense and 33.6 points per game while allowing 480.7 yards of total defense and 35.1 points per game against this season.

Georgia Southern is 13-6 ATS in their last 19 road games against a team with a winning home record and just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games on turf while the over is 4-0 in their last 4 conference games. Arkansas State is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games and 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games against a team with a winning record while the under is 14-6 in their last 20 conference games.

The Red Wolves with a free point at home could be worth a look, but the Red Wolves are just 1-4 ATS at home this season and had to scrape by Coastal Carolina as a two-touchdown favorite last time out. Both teams need the win in their respective division race, but the win means slightly more to Georgia Southern as they own their respective tiebreaker over Appalachian State and move into the drivers’ seat in the Sun Belt East if App State slips up. Arkansas State is also one of the worst teams in the country in terms of defending the run, and that’s not good against this Georgia Southern offense that’s predicated on the option.

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Chris’s Pick Georgia Southern -1

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Pick Dawgz site consensus.